Baseball April 6th

[Tinfish]

YTD Record (2-4) - $160

rough nite last night.

today i got:

Under 9 Milwaukee/Pittsburgh -109
These guys meet last 5/23 and the game ended 2-1. Both pitchers are familiar with there opponents as Davis had 4 starts vs Pitt last year and walked away with 3 very good starts(0,0,3runs) and one subpar effort. Last year Pitt really struggled to hit LH pitching and they have done nothing to address that besides trade Kendall who did hit LH's. Kip Wells when healthy is one of the most underrated pitchers in the game IMO. Davis was subpar on the road 4.24 ERA witha 1.42WHIP. Wells did have a 2.12 ERA at home in 2003.

Under 9.5 KC/Detriot -111
Maroth at home had an ERA slightily above 3.00. Last year in 4 starts despite a 1-3 record he had 2.96 ERA vs KC and his ERA was 3.82 during the day. Obviously Hernandez is the question mark. I think he started to see improvement the last 2 weeks of the SPring and he should be able to keep a predominantly RH lineup somewhat in check.

Tigers ML -149
Maroth pitches well at home and vs KC The lineups are no comparision.

Under 10 NYY/Boston +108
Both teams are not swinging the bat well at the moment . Its been Ortiz and Matsui and not much else IMO. The Yanks have struggled the past 10 days or so with the bat and Wakefield is probably the last guy they want to see. Who wants to be in a slump and have to face a knuckleball?? In 2004 spanning 3 starts he went 19.2 INN allowing 12 hits and 4 runs!! Mussina in his 4 healthy starts vs Boston(Sept and Oct) went 25.2 INN allowing 22 hits , 10er and 7BB with 29K's. That was just another page in there recent success against there respective opponents. Wakefield was dominanting in 03 with his knuckler and Mussina pitched some of the classic matchups against Pedro in his short Yankee career. Outside of Mantei on Opening Day the bullpens have been pretty solid and both teams are failing to cash in on there opportunites with MOB.

Over 9.5 Oakland / Baltimore -104
Really more of a gut feel play without much data to use. Sarloos should get hit hard by the O's lineup and even though scouts have raved about Cabrera's velocity this Spring he stills need to show me he get LH hitters out. Something that he will face alot of in the A's lineup. His ERA at home was 5.60 last year and he was roughed in his 1 road start at Oakland. The pens here are very solid but I am looking for most of the damage to be done early.

Los Angeles Angels -149
Washburn had an up and down year last year but one of his best starts was a game at home vs Texas that he lost 1-0 but allowed 0 runs in 8 innings. Rogers was decent in 2 starts at Edison Field but mostly cause the Angels continued to strand runners. Last year Rogers ERA was 5.31 on the road but worse was teams hit .312 off him! Then you take out a 5-1 May in which his ERA was near 2 he then never had a month below 4.03! Last 3 year sat Edision Field his numbers are not that good. He has 5 starts and a misleading 4.88ERA in 5 starts. He complied 27.2INN with 39hits and 19runs(just 15er). The downer is that Washburn struggled at home last year(even in 03) but his Rangers numbers are skewed cause he has been awful @ Arlington.