Baseball - April 15th

[Tinfish]

YTD (24-23) +155

today:

Dodgers -121
Right now Derrick Lowe was one of big sleepers for the 2005 season and he hasnt disappointed me yet. The Padres are struggling against RH pitching and that heavy sinker should add to that. Williams on the other hand will have a to face a Dodger lineup filled with LH bats and that should cause him enough trouble. Both pitchers didnt see much of these lineups in years past.

Under 8 -101 LAD/SD
When its a Night game I look to play Unders at Dodger Stadium as the ball just doesnt carry as well. We have a groundball pitcher in Lowe on one side coupled with 2 lineups who I dont think are hitting all that well at the moment. Both SP should take them thru at leats 6 innings.

Brewers -109
Sheets numbers vs STL last year were okay but his numbers at home have been excellent. Suppan had a good 1st Half last year and has really tappered off since then getting rocked in his 1st start. Sheets career numbers arent impressive vs Milwaukee and Walker,Edmonds and Pujols all hit him very well. Right now Pujols and rolen are struggling vs RHP so that might help Sheets out.

Cubs -136
Hate to fade Oliver Perez at such a good price but Zambrano loves facing teh Pirates. Last year 4 starts he allowed just one run and the other start was a complete game shutout @ Pitt. Perez even when healthy didnt have graet numbers vs Chicago but that was Alou and Sosa 's Cubs more LH bats this time. Would pound teh Under if perez was even somewhere near sharp!

Yankees -125
No matter what a team throws a LHP vs NY you have to go with NY. Think it was 36-11 last year and 2-0 this year(defeated Chen and Wells).

Twins -150
Hate this price actually shocked by it but Santana is just a bd matchup fpor Cleveland with all there LH hitters. Twins swept Det and Tribe lost 2 of 3 vs Chicago. Have to consider the under.

Rangers -130
They have just mashed LHP to date. While with the exception of Hinske and Zaun the Jays really havent done much vs RHP(think .254AVG). Drese has solid career numbers vs Toronto(4-2) and was 10-4 with a 3.26 ERA at home last season. Both of his starts in 2005 have been on the road. Lilly pitched well on the road last year and that leads me to my under play.

Under 10.5 -108 Rangers

A's -101
Anaheim is just not hitting LHP pitching early on and Zito should rebound from his last start against TB who do hit LH fairly well. Colon is juts to inconsistent for me and with a ton of LH sticks I think thsi will be a close low scoring Oakland win(4-3).

Tigers -135
Cant crazy here with a team winless on the road who doesnt have it s best hitter! Problem is KC is real bad and wont hit LHs very well and Ledezma is a favorite of mine. Price sucks which leads to the 1 unit play. Lima got rocked twice and his career is nearly over.

Mets +1.5 -120
They are just Hot and I will ride them Beckett has not yet mastered pitching on the road IMO.