Baseball - May 16th

[Tinfish]

YTD (103-86)

+ $1195.00

today:

Under 10.5 -102 Cleveland/Los Angeles
we know Elarton for the most part stinks but last year he pitched well at the Jake and this 2 year starts not enough to measure anything. Cleveland if the call to the pen it gets locked down. They have tallied 46.1 Innings at home and allowed 7runs{just 6 earned}!! Stat Line 1.17ERA 0.669WHIP 46.3Inn 7r 6ER 23H 3Hr 8BB 31K!!!!!Thats absurd! We know about LAA pen even without K-Rod. The kid Santana has been outstanding in Double AA and is a highly rated prospect. Small play thought 10.5 was alot of runs for these offense sright now...th ekey is the SP.

Orioles -162
Ponson is always hard to trust especially as road chalk but I have to play teh AL EAST teams vs the weaker Central squads. Sure KC just took 3 of 4 from TB but TB has 2 road wins this year and Baltimore is one of the better road teams in baseball. KC could also again be missing Sweeney and Harvey. Lima has been decent last 3 or 4 times out but still allowing alot of runs and worse is the KC pen who just cant be counted on despite some real good arms out there. Watchout as KC has done well in Lima's 3 home starts{game seems like an Under 10 to me}

Blue Jays +1.5 -107 & ML +213
I think all Jays fans here know I am not a big Josh Towers fan. Thing is you have to tip[ your hat to the kid as he appears to be in a groove coming consecutive excellent outings going 8 strong! It appears that Tori Hunter is questionable with a wrist injury and that leaves the offense in the hands of Mauer,Jones and Moreneau{still not shabby} but not much going on after those three. Santana we know is the elite SP in the AL but he usually doesnt get on track till June so why not take advantage. Jays are 6-4 vs LHP and Santana' starts vs Toronto last year was okay but not spectular and his Twins are 5-2 when he starts but 3 wins are by 1 run. Also take out the TB series and Miny has been dropping 2 of 3 each time out.

A's +132 & -1.5Runs +253
At first I was going to take the A's on the +1.5 RL but doesnt seem to be any need to despite all three of Clements road starts being ddecided by 1 run. Zito has been much tougher at home sporting a 3.32 ERA with a 0.83 WHIP. Despite a 7-4 vs LHP they hit just .264 off them which bodes well for Zito the second time around. Thought Oakland was coming out of there offensive funk on Sunday when they hit RJ well and it did carry over yesterday putting up 6 runs. Clements ERA is good away but his 1.48WHIP should cause trouble with the patient moneyball A's lineup. Line seems high since they were just -165 @ Fenway. Sox pen has a road ERA of 5.94 as well

Under 10.5 -102 NYY/Seattle
Not much to talk about this as I played it Monday and hit it early again yesterday when it first came out. If I thought 10.5 was to high for Wang/Sele then surely it looked to high for this matchup. Mateo comes out of the pen to make a start and while he will be limited to 4-5 innings he has been outstanding in 2005 to date. He has allowd just 1 earned run and 14 baserunners in 22innnings! Pavano had rough outing last time out vs Seattle when the ball was just jumping out of the Stadium and I think he gets back on track here just one of those days IMO. Big park here and solid pens to back up the SP.

Yankees -163
Ahh 9 straight wins! Need anymore incentive.