Baseball - July 20th

[Tinfish]

played a couple of the day games but didnt post it here so wont include them

Last nite (1-5) for a loss of $458.

yuck. several days in a row of losing

YTD (198-171) up $2,256

Today:

Colorado +185 First 5Innings
Just a speculative play. Real simple Jennings has thrown the ball real well on the road with a few exceptions that have blurred his numbers. Livan as well as Jennings numbers arent that good vs the opponent but both lineup s have limited abs vs the SP. Except Todd Helton has owned Livan in his career going 21/42 and since Livan tends to get nicked up early its worth a shot.

Reds +116
Wood really hasnt had success{just 4 starts this year} on the road and especially in starts at Great American. Harang has pitched very well @ home in 05 for Cincy despite them winning just 4 of his 9 starts.
He sports a 2.90ERA 1.00WHIP 62.0Innings{meaning he averages 7 per start} 43 hits allowed 20earned runs 17BB 58K With alot of LH bats for Cincy they should score some runs off Wood and Harang has proven he is tough at home.

Brewers +153 & +1.5 runs -148
With the injuries to there lineup STL could be flat offensively vs such a good SP. There OF was Taguci , Luna and Rodriguez yesterday instead of Sanders,Edmonds, Walker plus Diaz behind the dish instead of Molina. Mulder is pitching well but his opponents have been weak since the NYY start....Cincy{2}, SF, Col , Hou , & TB!! The problem is Milw struggles to score runs vs LH since they have little pop vs them and Jenkins and Overvbay are neutralized somewhat.

Over 9 -121 Arizona
Hitters park , Bucknor behind the dish , Webb in a funk of late , Moehler struggles some away and doesnt last more then 6 innings on average . Which means Fla horrid pen can be exposed.

Royals +222 & +1.5 +108
Lim ahas turned in 3 decent starts consecutively now and has had success vs Cleveland in the past.......remember he No-Hit them for 5 innings earlier this season at the Jake before allowing a few longballs!! Sabathia is just a mess at home this year and why pay 240 for a guy with a near 6ERA at home this season??? Absolute value play!