Saturday College Football -- Oct 8th

[Tinfish]

West Virginia -2.5
Just think RU will come down after beating Pitt at home. They made some big plays early and had to hang on for dear life. Thats seems to be a huge problem as they can give up just about any lead. Not sure if its solely the defense tiring or the defense jsut not being any good. I think WV is the toughest defense RU has faced to date. Rutgers tends to struggle in Big East play and WV has owned the series

Northwestern +7
Conference team with a solid offense getting a touch at home.

Over 44.5 -115 Wake / FSU
FSU offense appears to becoming around and they have always scored at hoem vs Wake. The Wake offense looked much better with Randolph at QB.

Pitt -11
I was one who faded Pitt last game but saw alot of things I liked in the 2nd Half. Like the fact they didnt quit but more importantly how the offense specifically the passing game opened up. Cincy was crushed @ Miami-Ohio which doesnt play defense like Pitt and yet they still couldnt move the ball. Pitt finally gets a team at home they are head an dshoulders above talent wise. The rivalry doesnt mean much to me.

Okl St +5
They cant play offense but not sure Mizzou can play defense and should lay points to anyone on the road.

South Carolina -12
Spurrier gets the chance to run up the score nd we know he likes to do that. Kentucky isnt very good defensively and I expect Steve to steam roll these teams to appease the alumni. The key is Blake Mitchell returns at QB.

Vandy +16.5
LSu is real good but we were all just talking about Vandy a week ago. They go from 17 pt favs to 17 pt dogs?? Little overreaction if you ask me maybe they were caught looking past Mid Tenn St.

Minnesota +8
I understand that Minny is nicked up but come on so is Michigan!! This is out of whack IMO. Last year Michigan ws -3.5 and struggled to win. Now just cause of 1 upset win for Michigan and one letdown loss for Minny we get this. Michigan isnt very good plain and simple or as good as perceived. They have played 3 tough games losing two and winning the other in OT. Not in a rush to lay points with them.

Buffalo +10.5
If it wasnt for the fact that Akron lost athome laying DD chalk I would be heavier on this. However a few weeks ago Akron was a team catching DD at home now for the second staright week they are DD chalk...should have acted earlier.


Iowa St -8
Bad spot for Baylor playing its 3rd staright road game and fourth of five this young season. Iowa St defense will force them into mistakes and get good field position or easy points out of it. Also I would expect Baylor to still be thinking about the one that got away last week.

A&M +4
Again overeaction to A&M sleepwalking thru the Baylor game. Reggie Neal was just off and there are no excuses but I expect a better efoort this week.

Iowa +5
The Hawkeyes struggled on the road so far but Purdue just seems overrated. They have struggled in every game.

UCF +3.5
Memphis playing its 3rd stringer a Freshman on teh road. UCF gaining momentum with some wins.

East Carolina -4
Rice playing its 4 straight road game. ECU has 3 solid efforts in 4 games cant say teh same for Rice

Under 50 Nebraska
Nebraska defense is real tough and I expect TT to struggle in its first road game. Also the TT defense has improved by leaps and bounds past few years.

Utah +5 -120
Looking at the line from last years meeting and common opponent AF this game is way off. Even with Utah road woes it should be clsoer to a PK.

Under 58 Hawaii
Like what Glanville has done with the defense and we know the Rainbows struggle away

Florida -17 1st Half
Florida owns Miss St and will look to bounce back after the embarrassing performance vs Bama. Miss St has not been able to move the ball vs three tough defenses something like 17pts in 3 games.

Tulane +1
Houston bad spot playing 3rd staraight road game.

Ohio St -2.5
Hate to fade my Penn St boys but have to. Ohio St is just to talented to lose this game. Penn St is still not a good offense despite what has happened recently. They cant be 3 pt dogs to Minny one wek and cause they win convincingly be just 3 pt dogs to Ohio St. Just overeaction IMO.

Oregon +10.5
Both teams played USC at home and the line was very similiar . This game shouldnt be above -7 IMO. ASu wont be getting over that USC collapse so quickly either. Have never been a fan of laying big chalk with ASU is conference play.

California +2
Seems like a popular play. Again big adjustment for 1 year as Cal was -17 at home last year. They lost Rodgers but Ayoob has played well lately. UCLA cant stop the run and I feel CAL can contain it.