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#1
10-30-03, 10:32 AM
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Nov 1 Illinois (+26.0) @ Iowa
Iowa (-26.0) versus Illinois
Iowa is a perfect 13-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points under coach Ferentz, so the Hawkeyes have shown no remorse in beating up on bad teams. However, the banged up Iowa offense, averaging a modest 4.9 yards per play this season (against teams that allow a combined 5.0 yppl on defense), may not have the firepower to cover such a big impost – especially since the Illini defense isn’t that much worse than average (5.9 yppl allowed to teams that average a combined 5.6 yppl on offense). Illinois’ defense has been worse in conference play (6.6 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.8 yppl), so the Hawkeyes still should put up a good number of points on the board given the great field position that their great defense and special teams will give their offense. Iowa’s stop unit has yielded just 3.9 yppl this season (to teams that combine to average 5.1 yppl on offense) and they won’t have any trouble shutting down a sub-par Illinois attack that has generated just 4.6 yppl this season (against teams that allow 4.9 yppl on defense). My math model favors Iowa by just 23 ½ points using all games and by 28 points using conference games only. I’m certainly more apt to believe that Illinois’ recent efforts are more indicative of what we can expect in this game and Iowa’s history as a big favorite is not something I wish to buck. Prediction? Iowa 42 Illinois 10
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#2
11-02-03, 02:33 PM
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Actual score? Iowa 41 Illinois 10
__________________
Never perform card tricks for the people you play poker with.
Superior Muscle Does not promote the use of anabolic steroids without a doctor's prescription. The information shared is for learning purposes only. The Administrators, and Moderators of this site are not liable for any injury caused by the misuse of any chemical used for bodybuilding purposes. 1) DO NOT POST ASKING FOR A SOURCE!!!! 2)If you are a source, dont bother posting for business, it is clearly against the board's policy and you will be banned. 3)DO NOT PM OR EMAIL A MOD ABOUT A SOURCE!
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