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went 3-2 yesterday up $85
YTD (111-88)
up $1965.00
today:
:megaphone
Oakland A's -140
We know TB is 3-19 away and despite some struggles Oakland is actually 7-7 vs LHP{10-12 @ Home}. Oakland is now 9-1 the past 2 + seasons at home vs TB. It appears that Zito is rounding into form and has strung together two solid starts on the road and now he pitches at home where he has always fared well. The Oakland lineup welcomes back Bobby Crosby , Nick Swisher and hits LHP at a much higher clip then RHP {.259 vs .237}. Hendrickson has been okay since his return from the DL. He has held LH bats in check {.156} but RH's are hitting .340 against him. The hR ball has hurt him a bit on the road allowing 4 in 18 innings. Hendrickson has struggled outdoors in his short career and dropped 12 of his 16 road satrs since joining TB. With Hendrickson probably lasting 6 innings I feel Oaklnad has a huge edge when they go to the pens.
SD Padres -126
We all know SD was the best team in baseball during the month of May and have a nice home win streak going. Lawrence is always much better at home. This year 2-1 in 4 starts spanning 28.2 Innings. That 7+ innings per starts and he has a 2.51 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Milw is 11-53 vs him with Hardy never facing him. Now Foug Davis is coming off two impressive starts where he hasnt allowed a run! But Davis is someone much like Lawrence is that he has been significantly better at home then away. Milw is 9-16 away and SD is 18-4 at home.
Yankees -219
Well Randy Johnson might be turning the corner as his velocity was very good vs Boston on Friday. Hopefully that groin is healing and he can get his mechanics in order. Now NY has dropped 3 straight and last nite KC got some hits that just found holes and another bad play by Cano. Brown was throwing hard but still keep the ball up a little to much IMO. He is 40 years old and now has strung together a few starts where he has been consistently 93-95MPH which is great as long as the ball stays down cause the movement is gone. When he throws strikes the batters usually swing miss however he is very wild outside the strike zone{meaning when he misses it usually not close} and he tends to leave to many belt high pitches. Bottomline is he is getting there and few teams have a #4 or #5 SP to match him. Yanks squandered many opps last nite{womack getting picked off and Bernies Hr getting knocked down by the wind turned into a Double} and maybe KC had some good fortune with Torre being suspended while Bell made his debut. RJ is RJ and Carrasaco while being fairly solid has lost his 3 starts. A loss here would be devasting IMO but we do know the Yanks dont seem to play great under tremendous pressure this year. All things considered th etalent differental is huge and KC already took a game in the series.
Twins -129
Well the Tribe certainly have th trends on there side. Lee is 6-0 in away starts and went 4-0 vs Minny last year. Not to mention Radke last start was vs Cleveland a situation I dont like much. However Radke has strung together 6 solid starts vs Cleveland the past 2 seasons{last outing was shaky but a W} and we know that Minny usually fares well vs LHP. Radke has just been awesome at home 4-2 2.81 ERA @ Home
Braves -142
With Smoltz on th e hill trying to avoid the sweep vs a team that isnt scoring many runs. Before last nite Washington had gone 7 games with 3runs or less and had scored more then 3 just once in 13 previous games. Honestly Smoltz's last 2 starst are a concern but they werent awful just not up to par. Smoltz lead Atlanta to a Win earlier in the season in the same situation vs Washington and has gone 7-1 in his 8 career starts vs Washington{Montreal} while Armas doesnt look that sharp and is just 4-13 in 17 career starts.
Under 8 Atlanta -102
Smoltz getting 2.6 runs per start with Armas having a career ERA in the mid 3.00's vs Atlanta. Combined with Washington scoring three or less in 12 of teh past 14 games.
Pirates +116
My feeling is that Moehler is nothing more then a 5 inning maybe 6 inning SP on the road. Florida's pen on the road has 7.15 ERA and 1.85 WHIP while Fogg has okay numbers at home but is to inconsistent for me to figure. Bottomline is for whatever reason Florida just doesnt play well in Pitt 0-8 now past 2+ seasons.
Diamondbacks -108
Brandon Webb has proved alot to me and the Mets bats are just quite recently even with Beltran returning. Zambrano usually pitches good enough to keep his team in the game but not good enough for his team to win.
Dodgers -168
This is NOT just a fade of the Cubs rookie who has a 5.00 ERA in Triple A and was 12th rounder in 98. Its more the fact that LA is 11-4 vs LHP and that is what Koronka is. With a LH on the hill Perez should play third and Saenz first while Kent and Itzuris tear it up vs LH are up the middle. Phillips is solid behind the dish. With Bradley ailing Drew slides to center but he struggles vs LHP this year but they get Werth who should be able to fill in for Bradley as far as production vs LHP. With Ledee in LF you will see alot of K's vs LH but someone who will give tough abs. Plus we have Lowe at home where he is terrific and trying to avoid the sweep.
Orioles +1.5 Runs -144
Ponson has a 9.00 ERA away! but the O's are 3-1 in those 4 starts and play well on the road and at Boston {3-1 this year and 14-9 past 2+}. However Ponson is just horrible vs boston 2-9 or 5-11 when he starts vs boston. Thing is if you look at Ponsons recent starts they are better then Wake's and he is taking them into the 7th and 8thinnings when you get the Julio and Ryan duo. The KC game where he allowed 6runs in 1.1 innings is what is killing his numbers. Otherwise he went 7 or more in 5 of his last 7 starts and the other start ws 6 innings. He last 8 three times and had a CG as well. Wake has realy struggled with command and I truly believe this is a coin flip.
LAA +1.5 Runs -171
Chciago has won in the 9th inning twice now and I think this is worth a shot as LA tries to avoid the sweep
Tigers -115
Bonderman as we know is a kid who can dominate even a HOT team like texas where as Drese is just awful on the road .He has 12bbs and 5K's in 26.1 Innings!!{9.23 ERA this year & 5.22 last }So even the sleepy DET bats should put some runs up vs Texas here.
Mariners -114
I know Seattle is 3-10 vs LH but for some reason I like this matchup. Meche is inconsistent and just when you least expect he throws a gem.
YTD (111-88)
up $1965.00
today:
:megaphone
Oakland A's -140
We know TB is 3-19 away and despite some struggles Oakland is actually 7-7 vs LHP{10-12 @ Home}. Oakland is now 9-1 the past 2 + seasons at home vs TB. It appears that Zito is rounding into form and has strung together two solid starts on the road and now he pitches at home where he has always fared well. The Oakland lineup welcomes back Bobby Crosby , Nick Swisher and hits LHP at a much higher clip then RHP {.259 vs .237}. Hendrickson has been okay since his return from the DL. He has held LH bats in check {.156} but RH's are hitting .340 against him. The hR ball has hurt him a bit on the road allowing 4 in 18 innings. Hendrickson has struggled outdoors in his short career and dropped 12 of his 16 road satrs since joining TB. With Hendrickson probably lasting 6 innings I feel Oaklnad has a huge edge when they go to the pens.
SD Padres -126
We all know SD was the best team in baseball during the month of May and have a nice home win streak going. Lawrence is always much better at home. This year 2-1 in 4 starts spanning 28.2 Innings. That 7+ innings per starts and he has a 2.51 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Milw is 11-53 vs him with Hardy never facing him. Now Foug Davis is coming off two impressive starts where he hasnt allowed a run! But Davis is someone much like Lawrence is that he has been significantly better at home then away. Milw is 9-16 away and SD is 18-4 at home.
Yankees -219
Well Randy Johnson might be turning the corner as his velocity was very good vs Boston on Friday. Hopefully that groin is healing and he can get his mechanics in order. Now NY has dropped 3 straight and last nite KC got some hits that just found holes and another bad play by Cano. Brown was throwing hard but still keep the ball up a little to much IMO. He is 40 years old and now has strung together a few starts where he has been consistently 93-95MPH which is great as long as the ball stays down cause the movement is gone. When he throws strikes the batters usually swing miss however he is very wild outside the strike zone{meaning when he misses it usually not close} and he tends to leave to many belt high pitches. Bottomline is he is getting there and few teams have a #4 or #5 SP to match him. Yanks squandered many opps last nite{womack getting picked off and Bernies Hr getting knocked down by the wind turned into a Double} and maybe KC had some good fortune with Torre being suspended while Bell made his debut. RJ is RJ and Carrasaco while being fairly solid has lost his 3 starts. A loss here would be devasting IMO but we do know the Yanks dont seem to play great under tremendous pressure this year. All things considered th etalent differental is huge and KC already took a game in the series.
Twins -129
Well the Tribe certainly have th trends on there side. Lee is 6-0 in away starts and went 4-0 vs Minny last year. Not to mention Radke last start was vs Cleveland a situation I dont like much. However Radke has strung together 6 solid starts vs Cleveland the past 2 seasons{last outing was shaky but a W} and we know that Minny usually fares well vs LHP. Radke has just been awesome at home 4-2 2.81 ERA @ Home
Braves -142
With Smoltz on th e hill trying to avoid the sweep vs a team that isnt scoring many runs. Before last nite Washington had gone 7 games with 3runs or less and had scored more then 3 just once in 13 previous games. Honestly Smoltz's last 2 starst are a concern but they werent awful just not up to par. Smoltz lead Atlanta to a Win earlier in the season in the same situation vs Washington and has gone 7-1 in his 8 career starts vs Washington{Montreal} while Armas doesnt look that sharp and is just 4-13 in 17 career starts.
Under 8 Atlanta -102
Smoltz getting 2.6 runs per start with Armas having a career ERA in the mid 3.00's vs Atlanta. Combined with Washington scoring three or less in 12 of teh past 14 games.
Pirates +116
My feeling is that Moehler is nothing more then a 5 inning maybe 6 inning SP on the road. Florida's pen on the road has 7.15 ERA and 1.85 WHIP while Fogg has okay numbers at home but is to inconsistent for me to figure. Bottomline is for whatever reason Florida just doesnt play well in Pitt 0-8 now past 2+ seasons.
Diamondbacks -108
Brandon Webb has proved alot to me and the Mets bats are just quite recently even with Beltran returning. Zambrano usually pitches good enough to keep his team in the game but not good enough for his team to win.
Dodgers -168
This is NOT just a fade of the Cubs rookie who has a 5.00 ERA in Triple A and was 12th rounder in 98. Its more the fact that LA is 11-4 vs LHP and that is what Koronka is. With a LH on the hill Perez should play third and Saenz first while Kent and Itzuris tear it up vs LH are up the middle. Phillips is solid behind the dish. With Bradley ailing Drew slides to center but he struggles vs LHP this year but they get Werth who should be able to fill in for Bradley as far as production vs LHP. With Ledee in LF you will see alot of K's vs LH but someone who will give tough abs. Plus we have Lowe at home where he is terrific and trying to avoid the sweep.
Orioles +1.5 Runs -144
Ponson has a 9.00 ERA away! but the O's are 3-1 in those 4 starts and play well on the road and at Boston {3-1 this year and 14-9 past 2+}. However Ponson is just horrible vs boston 2-9 or 5-11 when he starts vs boston. Thing is if you look at Ponsons recent starts they are better then Wake's and he is taking them into the 7th and 8thinnings when you get the Julio and Ryan duo. The KC game where he allowed 6runs in 1.1 innings is what is killing his numbers. Otherwise he went 7 or more in 5 of his last 7 starts and the other start ws 6 innings. He last 8 three times and had a CG as well. Wake has realy struggled with command and I truly believe this is a coin flip.
LAA +1.5 Runs -171
Chciago has won in the 9th inning twice now and I think this is worth a shot as LA tries to avoid the sweep
Tigers -115
Bonderman as we know is a kid who can dominate even a HOT team like texas where as Drese is just awful on the road .He has 12bbs and 5K's in 26.1 Innings!!{9.23 ERA this year & 5.22 last }So even the sleepy DET bats should put some runs up vs Texas here.
Mariners -114
I know Seattle is 3-10 vs LH but for some reason I like this matchup. Meche is inconsistent and just when you least expect he throws a gem.