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3-1 last night for a gain of $155
YTD (133-99)
up $2,671
Today:
:megaphone:
Under 8 NYM/HOU (-110)...tough not to take the UNDER in any road game the Astros are involved in. Avg only 2.7 runs per game (.201) on the road they are 5-3 UNDER when total is 8-8.5 away from home. They are 10-4 UNDER L14 overall and are avg only 3.4 rpg (.244) in thier L7.Then add the Mets who dont score alot of runs in Shea (4.5 rpg) but do keep runs allowed down.Versus RH starers the Mets only put up 4.1 rpg. (22-16 UNDER). When the total is 8-8.5 the Mets are 12-6 UNDER overall and 9-4 UNDER at Shea.Zambrano has been great in his home starts and although Backe is not Oswalt hes been alright on the road. These two met up earlier in the season in a 4-3 final...I look for more of the same tonight.
Baltimore -108....Pirates are 8-12 vs LH starters this year and only 10-17 after a win.BAL is 14-8 TY after a loss and 25-14 vs RH starters.On the road the O's are 18-9 and have only lost back to back road games in the same series once vs CWS (Buerhle and Garland were the starters in those games).
Florida RL -1.5 (+120) and UNDER 7.5 (-122)....Start with some trends:
SEA is 12-3 UNDER vs LH starters and 19-5 UNDER vs A500 teams.Now they have to face Willis whos absolutely lights out at home to the tune of a 1.19 era (6-1 UNDER).His era is only 2.63 over his last 3 starts and is 7-4 UNDER overall.FLA is only avg 3.1 rpg over thier last 7 and avg 4.1 vs RH starters (20-16 UNDER).Marlins are 19-11 UNDER at home.Meche hasnt been bad at all on the road.7-3 UNDER overall, his era in his L3 is 2.65 and its 3.55 on the road.Unforunately his team vs LH starters is pathetic (2.8 rpg / .218 BA).....Willis should be able to shut them down cold. I dont think Meche gets banged up but even if he lets up 4 that could be enough to win both sides here IMO.
San Diego RL -1.5 (-101) SD is in a funk no doubt and laying straight money on the Pads right now is not wise but Ill gamble w/ the -1.5.If CLE struggled to hit Lawrence last night Peavy should present all sort of problems.Elartons L3 look good but two of those were at home.On the road his era is 6.51 and he may be just what the Padres ordered to get back on track.SD hits RH pitching well (5.0 rpg) and I dont think the Indians get many if any tonight.Everyone knows Peavys line but Ill review it: 2.95 era at home and 1.80 L3.He should be the stopper tonight.
YTD (133-99)
up $2,671
Today:
:megaphone:
Under 8 NYM/HOU (-110)...tough not to take the UNDER in any road game the Astros are involved in. Avg only 2.7 runs per game (.201) on the road they are 5-3 UNDER when total is 8-8.5 away from home. They are 10-4 UNDER L14 overall and are avg only 3.4 rpg (.244) in thier L7.Then add the Mets who dont score alot of runs in Shea (4.5 rpg) but do keep runs allowed down.Versus RH starers the Mets only put up 4.1 rpg. (22-16 UNDER). When the total is 8-8.5 the Mets are 12-6 UNDER overall and 9-4 UNDER at Shea.Zambrano has been great in his home starts and although Backe is not Oswalt hes been alright on the road. These two met up earlier in the season in a 4-3 final...I look for more of the same tonight.
Baltimore -108....Pirates are 8-12 vs LH starters this year and only 10-17 after a win.BAL is 14-8 TY after a loss and 25-14 vs RH starters.On the road the O's are 18-9 and have only lost back to back road games in the same series once vs CWS (Buerhle and Garland were the starters in those games).
Florida RL -1.5 (+120) and UNDER 7.5 (-122)....Start with some trends:
SEA is 12-3 UNDER vs LH starters and 19-5 UNDER vs A500 teams.Now they have to face Willis whos absolutely lights out at home to the tune of a 1.19 era (6-1 UNDER).His era is only 2.63 over his last 3 starts and is 7-4 UNDER overall.FLA is only avg 3.1 rpg over thier last 7 and avg 4.1 vs RH starters (20-16 UNDER).Marlins are 19-11 UNDER at home.Meche hasnt been bad at all on the road.7-3 UNDER overall, his era in his L3 is 2.65 and its 3.55 on the road.Unforunately his team vs LH starters is pathetic (2.8 rpg / .218 BA).....Willis should be able to shut them down cold. I dont think Meche gets banged up but even if he lets up 4 that could be enough to win both sides here IMO.
San Diego RL -1.5 (-101) SD is in a funk no doubt and laying straight money on the Pads right now is not wise but Ill gamble w/ the -1.5.If CLE struggled to hit Lawrence last night Peavy should present all sort of problems.Elartons L3 look good but two of those were at home.On the road his era is 6.51 and he may be just what the Padres ordered to get back on track.SD hits RH pitching well (5.0 rpg) and I dont think the Indians get many if any tonight.Everyone knows Peavys line but Ill review it: 2.95 era at home and 1.80 L3.He should be the stopper tonight.