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16-11 YTD
Texas Rangers +130 vs.NY Yankees
Yankees/Rangers Under 10
Rangers winners of 2 in a row playing the second game of the set against the Yankees losers of 2 in row. The Yankees bats have fallen on difficult times as they lost Sheffield for quite some time now, but have also lost Matsui. To make matters worse, Giambi left last night with a neck injury. They claim it’s nothing serious but I wonder how much it will impact his performance tonight if he plays.
Ever since the Matsui injury, the Yanks have had a lot of trouble scoring runs lately. Since then, the Yanks have scored 4 runs or less in a 5 game span averaging 2.4 runs per game. Also, since the injury, they could only muster 8 hits or less in each game. In their last 7 games, only Rodriguez, Posada, and Crosby is batting over .300 meanwhile Damon, Giambi, and Williams are all batting under .200. The Rangers on the other hand have had 10+ hits in 3 of their last 5 games averaging 10.1 hits per game in their last 8 games. They have scored 5+ runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Over their last 7 game, the bottom half of their lineup has been batting well over .300.
The Yanks are sending their #3 guy after not winning with their #1 and 2 starter. Chacon has been impressive lately as he has held his last 4 opponents to 1 ER averaging about 6 innings in each start. In his last 4 starts, he’s held his opponents to an average of 4-5 hits in each game. He faced the Rangers earlier this month getting the win by limiting them to 5 hits and 1 ER over 6 innings. In 3 starts against the Rangers, his teams are 3-0 where he gave up 3 ERs or less in each start. What’s intriguing about those stats is more than half of the Rangers lineup has good averages against him. Matthews, Young, Blalock, Wilkerson, Jiminez, and Barajas all bat well over .333 against him. Either he is lucky or Texas has difficulty stringing hits together against him. For the season, Chacon has a good ERA of 3.68, but an OBP of .341 and a WHIP of 1.53. In his last 10 starts, the under has come in 9 of the 10.
The Rangers counter with Koronka who is 4-1 for the season and the Rangers are 5-2 in his 7 starts this season. His season numbers are very similar, and even a little better) to that of Chacon with an ERA of 3.65, OBP of .297, and a WHIP of 1.20. In the two Rangers’ losses when he started, he gave up 4 ERs in 5 innings of work in each game. However, in the 5 Rangers’ wins, he given up 3 ERs or less and averaging about 2-3 runs per game. Other than his last start against the Twinkies, he has held his opponents to about 5-6 hits in about 5-6 innings per game. The only X factor in this game is that the Yankees and their bats haven’t faced him yet.
With the way the Yanks are batting lately, they need another solid performance from Chacon. I think they will get it, however, I think that Koronka will be equal to the task. This time may be a little different as Chacon’s two career wins against the Rangers, he had 16 runs of support behind him. The way things are trending, he won’t get that support tonight.
I see both pitchers going about 6 innings tonight with the game close and maybe the Rangers slightly ahead. Now it comes down to which bullpen can hang on to win.
The Rangers have the advantage here. Not counting last night’s game, their pen hasn’t pitched in almost a week (May 10th) with 2 rainouts Boston and a game shortened in Boston. Their pen is fully rested. They did however use two of their better relievers last night, Cordero and closer Otsuka each pitching 1 scoreless inning. They do have pretty good relievers available as Benoit and Mahay both have ERAs of 2.55 and 2.35 respectively for the season. Benoit has not give up a run in his last 10 appearances. They also have Wilson and Feldman available where both of them combined have given up a total of 2 ERs in their last 3 appearances with a total of 9 innings of relief. In their last 6 games, they had a total of 15 innings of relief and have given up a total of 6 ERs (ERA of 3.60).
The Yankees pen is a little limited with Sturtze going on the DL. Farnsworth, who blew it last night, and Proctor both went last night. That leaves the Yanks with Myers, Small and Villone with Myers being the only solid reliever in the bunch with a 1.04 ERA for the season. Myers very rarely pitches more than 1 inning. The other available middle relievers are Small and Villone who combined have given up 8 ERs in their last 3 appearances with a total of 7 innings of relief. In the Yanks last 6 games, their pen has given up 7 ERs in 15 innings of relief. (4.20 ERA).
When these two teams met a couple of weeks ago, the Rangers went with 15 innings of relief and only gave up 4 ERs (ERA of 2.40), whereas, the Yanks had only 8 innings of relief and yielded 5 ERs (ERA of 5.63). The reason that the Yanks didn’t need the relief was be cause they outscored the Rangers scoring 22 runs total in that series. Their pen will need to perform as they will most likely not have that same cushion this time around.
I see it being close to a wash in the first half of the game and give the slight to the Rangers as the Yanks have not faced Koronka and their bats have good averages against Chacon. And then I see the Rangers slightly pull away towards the end as their pen is well rested and the Yanks pen limited with options. Both will do a decent job and keep the runs in check.
Texas Rangers +130 vs.NY Yankees
Yankees/Rangers Under 10
Rangers winners of 2 in a row playing the second game of the set against the Yankees losers of 2 in row. The Yankees bats have fallen on difficult times as they lost Sheffield for quite some time now, but have also lost Matsui. To make matters worse, Giambi left last night with a neck injury. They claim it’s nothing serious but I wonder how much it will impact his performance tonight if he plays.
Ever since the Matsui injury, the Yanks have had a lot of trouble scoring runs lately. Since then, the Yanks have scored 4 runs or less in a 5 game span averaging 2.4 runs per game. Also, since the injury, they could only muster 8 hits or less in each game. In their last 7 games, only Rodriguez, Posada, and Crosby is batting over .300 meanwhile Damon, Giambi, and Williams are all batting under .200. The Rangers on the other hand have had 10+ hits in 3 of their last 5 games averaging 10.1 hits per game in their last 8 games. They have scored 5+ runs in 4 of their last 6 games. Over their last 7 game, the bottom half of their lineup has been batting well over .300.
The Yanks are sending their #3 guy after not winning with their #1 and 2 starter. Chacon has been impressive lately as he has held his last 4 opponents to 1 ER averaging about 6 innings in each start. In his last 4 starts, he’s held his opponents to an average of 4-5 hits in each game. He faced the Rangers earlier this month getting the win by limiting them to 5 hits and 1 ER over 6 innings. In 3 starts against the Rangers, his teams are 3-0 where he gave up 3 ERs or less in each start. What’s intriguing about those stats is more than half of the Rangers lineup has good averages against him. Matthews, Young, Blalock, Wilkerson, Jiminez, and Barajas all bat well over .333 against him. Either he is lucky or Texas has difficulty stringing hits together against him. For the season, Chacon has a good ERA of 3.68, but an OBP of .341 and a WHIP of 1.53. In his last 10 starts, the under has come in 9 of the 10.
The Rangers counter with Koronka who is 4-1 for the season and the Rangers are 5-2 in his 7 starts this season. His season numbers are very similar, and even a little better) to that of Chacon with an ERA of 3.65, OBP of .297, and a WHIP of 1.20. In the two Rangers’ losses when he started, he gave up 4 ERs in 5 innings of work in each game. However, in the 5 Rangers’ wins, he given up 3 ERs or less and averaging about 2-3 runs per game. Other than his last start against the Twinkies, he has held his opponents to about 5-6 hits in about 5-6 innings per game. The only X factor in this game is that the Yankees and their bats haven’t faced him yet.
With the way the Yanks are batting lately, they need another solid performance from Chacon. I think they will get it, however, I think that Koronka will be equal to the task. This time may be a little different as Chacon’s two career wins against the Rangers, he had 16 runs of support behind him. The way things are trending, he won’t get that support tonight.
I see both pitchers going about 6 innings tonight with the game close and maybe the Rangers slightly ahead. Now it comes down to which bullpen can hang on to win.
The Rangers have the advantage here. Not counting last night’s game, their pen hasn’t pitched in almost a week (May 10th) with 2 rainouts Boston and a game shortened in Boston. Their pen is fully rested. They did however use two of their better relievers last night, Cordero and closer Otsuka each pitching 1 scoreless inning. They do have pretty good relievers available as Benoit and Mahay both have ERAs of 2.55 and 2.35 respectively for the season. Benoit has not give up a run in his last 10 appearances. They also have Wilson and Feldman available where both of them combined have given up a total of 2 ERs in their last 3 appearances with a total of 9 innings of relief. In their last 6 games, they had a total of 15 innings of relief and have given up a total of 6 ERs (ERA of 3.60).
The Yankees pen is a little limited with Sturtze going on the DL. Farnsworth, who blew it last night, and Proctor both went last night. That leaves the Yanks with Myers, Small and Villone with Myers being the only solid reliever in the bunch with a 1.04 ERA for the season. Myers very rarely pitches more than 1 inning. The other available middle relievers are Small and Villone who combined have given up 8 ERs in their last 3 appearances with a total of 7 innings of relief. In the Yanks last 6 games, their pen has given up 7 ERs in 15 innings of relief. (4.20 ERA).
When these two teams met a couple of weeks ago, the Rangers went with 15 innings of relief and only gave up 4 ERs (ERA of 2.40), whereas, the Yanks had only 8 innings of relief and yielded 5 ERs (ERA of 5.63). The reason that the Yanks didn’t need the relief was be cause they outscored the Rangers scoring 22 runs total in that series. Their pen will need to perform as they will most likely not have that same cushion this time around.
I see it being close to a wash in the first half of the game and give the slight to the Rangers as the Yanks have not faced Koronka and their bats have good averages against Chacon. And then I see the Rangers slightly pull away towards the end as their pen is well rested and the Yanks pen limited with options. Both will do a decent job and keep the runs in check.