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Nov 2 Washington (+4.0) @ Dallas

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  • Nov 2 Washington (+4.0) @ Dallas

    Washington at Dallas
    Sunday, Nov-02 01:15 PM
    Favorite: Dallas -4.0
    Total: 38.0

    01:15 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02
    The Cowboys ran into a highly motivated Tampa Bay team last week and Quincy Carter looked antsy in the pocket against the Bucs’ pressure. I expect Dallas to bounce back this week against a disappointing Redskins team that is just average offensively and troubled on defense. Washington has averaged a modest 4.9 yards per play this season (against teams that allow a combined 5.0 yppl on defense) and both of their main running backs Canidate and Betts are banged up (Canidate is questionable and Betts is expected to miss). Dallas has been one of the best defensive teams in the league this season, allowing only 4.2 yppl (to teams that average 4.9 yppl on offense), and I don’t see the Redskins doing much damage against that unit. The Cowboys offense has slowed down a bit in recent weeks and they are averaging a mediocre 5.1 yppl this season (against teams that allow an average of 5.2 yppl on defense), but they should bounce back from last week’s shutout loss against a Redskins’ stop unit that has surrendered 5.3 yppl this season (to teams that average only 4.9 yppl on offense). Teams with winning records are 37-13-3 ATS as home favorites of 3 points or more the week after scoring less than 7 points in a losing effort and Dallas will be glad to be back home after a couple of road games. These teams are about the same offensively, but the Cowboys have the huge edge on defense and are playing at home in a good situation.
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