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Jets - 7.5 O/U 35.5 (intertops)
THOUGHTS
Miami’s offense did good for a change last week, however I don’t think they’ll be putting up close to 31 points on a regular basis. This is still a team which has put up between 3-13 points in 6 of their 7 games played this season which have scored no defensive or special teams TD’s this season. On the road, the Dolphins have scored between 10-13 in all 3 of their games away from home this season. The Jets defense has played very good the last month. In their last 4 games, New York has given up an average of just 12.5 points per game. Last week they did a great job holding New England’s offense to just 13 points, which is by far the lowest, the Patriots offense has been held to this season.
New York’s offense hasn’t been that good the last month. The Jets offense has averaged just 13.75 offensive points per game in their last 4 games. The only decent offensive performance was at home two weeks ago against San Francisco who is ranked 2nd in the NFL in points given up per game. In that game the Jets were held to one FG after the first half, before they started their offensive rally. Miami’s defense solid all season. With the exception of one bad game in New England, the Dolphins defense has given up between 9-14 defensive points per game this season. Offensive turnovers which result in point is always a concern when Miami plays, so let’s hope it doesn’t happen this week.
These two teams played to a low scoring 17-9 ball game one month ago in Miami. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams.
Other stats which favor the under include:
- The under is 11-4-1 in Miami’s last 16 road games
- The under is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 game in October
- The under is 12-3-1 in New York’s last 16 home games
- The under is 4-0 in New York’s last 4 games.
- The under is 4-2 for both of these teams this season
As far as Miami +7 goes, I’ve predicted that based on the fact that Miami has scored 10-13 points per game in their 3 road games, and the Jets have given up no less than 14 points at home against teams like Buffalo and San Francisco, that the Dolphins will scored between 10-14 points this week. As far as predicting how many points the Jets offense will score, I’ve already mentioned above that New York’s offense has been slumping the last month. Given that and the fact that Miami’s defense is excellent, I’m predicting between 13-17 points this week for New York’s offense. So by my calculations, the worst Miami can do for me is lose by 7 (push). When New York wins, they really don’t blow out their opponents. In their 5 wins this season, the biggest margin of victory for them was 8 points.
MY PLAY:
Dolphins +7.5
Under 35.5
Jets - 7.5 O/U 35.5 (intertops)
THOUGHTS
Miami’s offense did good for a change last week, however I don’t think they’ll be putting up close to 31 points on a regular basis. This is still a team which has put up between 3-13 points in 6 of their 7 games played this season which have scored no defensive or special teams TD’s this season. On the road, the Dolphins have scored between 10-13 in all 3 of their games away from home this season. The Jets defense has played very good the last month. In their last 4 games, New York has given up an average of just 12.5 points per game. Last week they did a great job holding New England’s offense to just 13 points, which is by far the lowest, the Patriots offense has been held to this season.
New York’s offense hasn’t been that good the last month. The Jets offense has averaged just 13.75 offensive points per game in their last 4 games. The only decent offensive performance was at home two weeks ago against San Francisco who is ranked 2nd in the NFL in points given up per game. In that game the Jets were held to one FG after the first half, before they started their offensive rally. Miami’s defense solid all season. With the exception of one bad game in New England, the Dolphins defense has given up between 9-14 defensive points per game this season. Offensive turnovers which result in point is always a concern when Miami plays, so let’s hope it doesn’t happen this week.
These two teams played to a low scoring 17-9 ball game one month ago in Miami. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these 2 teams.
Other stats which favor the under include:
- The under is 11-4-1 in Miami’s last 16 road games
- The under is 6-1 in New York’s last 7 game in October
- The under is 12-3-1 in New York’s last 16 home games
- The under is 4-0 in New York’s last 4 games.
- The under is 4-2 for both of these teams this season
As far as Miami +7 goes, I’ve predicted that based on the fact that Miami has scored 10-13 points per game in their 3 road games, and the Jets have given up no less than 14 points at home against teams like Buffalo and San Francisco, that the Dolphins will scored between 10-14 points this week. As far as predicting how many points the Jets offense will score, I’ve already mentioned above that New York’s offense has been slumping the last month. Given that and the fact that Miami’s defense is excellent, I’m predicting between 13-17 points this week for New York’s offense. So by my calculations, the worst Miami can do for me is lose by 7 (push). When New York wins, they really don’t blow out their opponents. In their 5 wins this season, the biggest margin of victory for them was 8 points.
MY PLAY:
Dolphins +7.5
Under 35.5
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