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WISCONSIN -8
Is there a more overlooked undefeated than wisconsin? Well, yes UTAH but Wiskys defense is just smothering and stocco is doing the qb position justice. The Spartans lead the all-time series 25-19, including a 12-7 record in games played in East Lansing, Mich. However, the Badgers have won two in a row and seven of the last nine meetings, including MSU's forfeited victory (40-21) from 1993. Wisconsin has produced victories in its last two trips to Spartan Stadium: 42-24 on Oct. 26, 2002, and 17-10 on Oct. 14, 2000. Through nine games, the Spartans rank near the bottom of the Big Ten and NCAA in turnover margin (-7 overall). Michigan State has scored just 12 points off 12 takeaways in 2004, while its opponents have converted 19 Spartan miscues into 58 points.
That stat does not bode well against probably the best defense in the nation. Michigan State has committed 19 turnovers (8 fumbles, 11 interceptions) in the first nine games of the 2004 season. I mean really, Wisonsin hasn't lost straight up and has had some nice road wins @ ohio st. and @ purdue, this team has also covered 6 in a row and hasn't lost ATS since SEPTEMBER!!!!
wisonsin has pretty much destroyed the spartans the last 2 meetings. the defense plays well today, the badgers impress bowlsters.
MINNESOTA
Iowa sure does struggle offensively on the road, avg 13ppg while minny is giving up only 13 at home. Iowa has historically played well vs. minny, but this is minny's last game while Iowa still has wisconsin on deck. I really think minn's offense will shine today. All of minn's troubles have come on the road, well they are in the friendly confines of the dome today where they light people up. It seems both of these teams are jekyl and hyde being home and away, that situation favors minnesota today! I think minny remembers Iowa's fans heisting the goal post in minnesota, they won't let that happen again today. Minnesota’s six turnovers this season leads the Big Ten Conference in fewest turnovers and puts Minnesota in position to break the NCAA record for fewest turnovers in a season. I really think you will see a juiced up minnesota team today and I think they can run on Iowa as well as stop Iowa's 2 ypr they are averaging on the road.
DUKE +12.5
I like the bluedevils today. It's funny becuase the other day on the radio I heard Tommy Bowden actually being worried about the lack of excitement at duke home games bringing the moral of his team down, weird, but true! coming off their biggest win since I can remember and with hated rival south carolina on deck, laying double digits on the road. to an improved duke team is a straight No NO today.
VIRGINIA -3.5
There's no way miami loses 3 in a row, whens the last time this team was given points????BLA BLA BLA Nobody thought the yankee's would lose 3 in a row and Miami hasn't had this bad of a team in a while. they lack speed at receiver and get carved up in the middle by any running offense.well guess what, UVA had probably the best offensive line in football and really want to make up for laying an egg at fsu, which I think was a total product of the atmosphere, not how good those two teams were. I really think they hand Miami a butt whoopin today in charlottesville, and it won't be south beach weather, it will be chilly. when vegas tries to tell you something, you are supposed to listen, they grabbing every Miami bettor by the balls with this 3 and a hook, i'm not buying it. this virginia team is good, the only thing that would worry me is their corners, but like I said before, Miami really lacks true speed at wide receiver. uva tightes up that D at home and have defended the home very well over the last 3 seasons going 14-4 ATS. what a place to get off snide for miami, they've never been here before? no familiarity for the canes here, did I mention it would be a bit cold today? Virginia is 20-5 at home under Groh, including a 7-2 mark in November/December. The Cavaliers, who have won 16 of their last 17 home games, have won six in a row at home in November/December going back to 2001. One of the keys to Virginia’s success this season has been a lack of turnovers and limiting big plays. The Cavaliers have committed just six turnovers, tied for third fewest in the country. Defensively Virginia has given up just five running plays of more than 20 yards and relinquished only 15 pass plays of more than 25 yards. Virginia has had the curious situation of playing no close games so far this fall. All eight games have been decided by at least 16 points, including seven decided by 20 points or more. The Cavaliers are outscoring the opposition by an average of 33.5-13.8. With an outstanding line leading the way and a stable of experienced and talented backs, it’s not surprising that Virginia has put together seven dominating performances on the ground. The Cavaliers have rushed for at least 225 yards in seven of eight games this season. In the last 14 games, UVa has lost only four fumbles (and only fumbled 13 times overall). to beat miami, you can't beat yourselves, I don't think virginia will give them anything.
BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5
6-1 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 10 is boston college over the last 3 years and already 2-0 this year. there's alot at stake in this one, pretty much the big east! this game boils down to the league’s best offense - West Virginia - versus the league’s best defense - Boston College. The Eagles lead the Big East in total defense (295.4 ypg), scoring defense (12.8 ppg) and rushing defense(96.8 ypg) and are second in passing defense (198.6 ypg). The Eagles are, in fact, fourth in the nation in scoring defense. I like a defense as good as this getting 7 points any day. this scenario is good enough for me to jump on the Eagles
NOTRE DAME -11
NOTRE DAME is 7-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992. The defense has been Pittsburgh's Achilles heel this season, as Panther opponents are averaging 391 yards per game (including 265 through the air). In eight games played this season, Pitt has held its opponents to under 17 points just once - the first game of the year (a 24-3 win over Ohio). Notre Dame has the better defense and the offense will move the ball on pitt, they have renewed hope of a major bowl with the win over tennessee. The Irish are 10th in the country in run defense (95.2 yards per game) and 45th overall - including 28th in scoring defense (18.8 points per game). I don't think PItt is very good and don't see them having a chance to get there first win here since 1986. that place will be rocking and they have a touchdown jesus.
There are also 3 games that I think will hve a chance of the fav running it up a bit. I'm going to take all 4 favs and hope to go at least 3-1 in this trio:
CALIFORNIA -31
by the way, washington still hasn't covered ATS this year
OKLAHOMA -30.5
USC -35
UTAH -22 Utah is 19-3 ATS the last 2 years.
Is there a more overlooked undefeated than wisconsin? Well, yes UTAH but Wiskys defense is just smothering and stocco is doing the qb position justice. The Spartans lead the all-time series 25-19, including a 12-7 record in games played in East Lansing, Mich. However, the Badgers have won two in a row and seven of the last nine meetings, including MSU's forfeited victory (40-21) from 1993. Wisconsin has produced victories in its last two trips to Spartan Stadium: 42-24 on Oct. 26, 2002, and 17-10 on Oct. 14, 2000. Through nine games, the Spartans rank near the bottom of the Big Ten and NCAA in turnover margin (-7 overall). Michigan State has scored just 12 points off 12 takeaways in 2004, while its opponents have converted 19 Spartan miscues into 58 points.
That stat does not bode well against probably the best defense in the nation. Michigan State has committed 19 turnovers (8 fumbles, 11 interceptions) in the first nine games of the 2004 season. I mean really, Wisonsin hasn't lost straight up and has had some nice road wins @ ohio st. and @ purdue, this team has also covered 6 in a row and hasn't lost ATS since SEPTEMBER!!!!
wisonsin has pretty much destroyed the spartans the last 2 meetings. the defense plays well today, the badgers impress bowlsters.
MINNESOTA
Iowa sure does struggle offensively on the road, avg 13ppg while minny is giving up only 13 at home. Iowa has historically played well vs. minny, but this is minny's last game while Iowa still has wisconsin on deck. I really think minn's offense will shine today. All of minn's troubles have come on the road, well they are in the friendly confines of the dome today where they light people up. It seems both of these teams are jekyl and hyde being home and away, that situation favors minnesota today! I think minny remembers Iowa's fans heisting the goal post in minnesota, they won't let that happen again today. Minnesota’s six turnovers this season leads the Big Ten Conference in fewest turnovers and puts Minnesota in position to break the NCAA record for fewest turnovers in a season. I really think you will see a juiced up minnesota team today and I think they can run on Iowa as well as stop Iowa's 2 ypr they are averaging on the road.
DUKE +12.5
I like the bluedevils today. It's funny becuase the other day on the radio I heard Tommy Bowden actually being worried about the lack of excitement at duke home games bringing the moral of his team down, weird, but true! coming off their biggest win since I can remember and with hated rival south carolina on deck, laying double digits on the road. to an improved duke team is a straight No NO today.
VIRGINIA -3.5
There's no way miami loses 3 in a row, whens the last time this team was given points????BLA BLA BLA Nobody thought the yankee's would lose 3 in a row and Miami hasn't had this bad of a team in a while. they lack speed at receiver and get carved up in the middle by any running offense.well guess what, UVA had probably the best offensive line in football and really want to make up for laying an egg at fsu, which I think was a total product of the atmosphere, not how good those two teams were. I really think they hand Miami a butt whoopin today in charlottesville, and it won't be south beach weather, it will be chilly. when vegas tries to tell you something, you are supposed to listen, they grabbing every Miami bettor by the balls with this 3 and a hook, i'm not buying it. this virginia team is good, the only thing that would worry me is their corners, but like I said before, Miami really lacks true speed at wide receiver. uva tightes up that D at home and have defended the home very well over the last 3 seasons going 14-4 ATS. what a place to get off snide for miami, they've never been here before? no familiarity for the canes here, did I mention it would be a bit cold today? Virginia is 20-5 at home under Groh, including a 7-2 mark in November/December. The Cavaliers, who have won 16 of their last 17 home games, have won six in a row at home in November/December going back to 2001. One of the keys to Virginia’s success this season has been a lack of turnovers and limiting big plays. The Cavaliers have committed just six turnovers, tied for third fewest in the country. Defensively Virginia has given up just five running plays of more than 20 yards and relinquished only 15 pass plays of more than 25 yards. Virginia has had the curious situation of playing no close games so far this fall. All eight games have been decided by at least 16 points, including seven decided by 20 points or more. The Cavaliers are outscoring the opposition by an average of 33.5-13.8. With an outstanding line leading the way and a stable of experienced and talented backs, it’s not surprising that Virginia has put together seven dominating performances on the ground. The Cavaliers have rushed for at least 225 yards in seven of eight games this season. In the last 14 games, UVa has lost only four fumbles (and only fumbled 13 times overall). to beat miami, you can't beat yourselves, I don't think virginia will give them anything.
BOSTON COLLEGE +7.5
6-1 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 10 is boston college over the last 3 years and already 2-0 this year. there's alot at stake in this one, pretty much the big east! this game boils down to the league’s best offense - West Virginia - versus the league’s best defense - Boston College. The Eagles lead the Big East in total defense (295.4 ypg), scoring defense (12.8 ppg) and rushing defense(96.8 ypg) and are second in passing defense (198.6 ypg). The Eagles are, in fact, fourth in the nation in scoring defense. I like a defense as good as this getting 7 points any day. this scenario is good enough for me to jump on the Eagles
NOTRE DAME -11
NOTRE DAME is 7-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH since 1992. The defense has been Pittsburgh's Achilles heel this season, as Panther opponents are averaging 391 yards per game (including 265 through the air). In eight games played this season, Pitt has held its opponents to under 17 points just once - the first game of the year (a 24-3 win over Ohio). Notre Dame has the better defense and the offense will move the ball on pitt, they have renewed hope of a major bowl with the win over tennessee. The Irish are 10th in the country in run defense (95.2 yards per game) and 45th overall - including 28th in scoring defense (18.8 points per game). I don't think PItt is very good and don't see them having a chance to get there first win here since 1986. that place will be rocking and they have a touchdown jesus.
There are also 3 games that I think will hve a chance of the fav running it up a bit. I'm going to take all 4 favs and hope to go at least 3-1 in this trio:
CALIFORNIA -31
by the way, washington still hasn't covered ATS this year
OKLAHOMA -30.5
USC -35
UTAH -22 Utah is 19-3 ATS the last 2 years.