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Indianapolis Colts -9
This is a game where I feel the entire world and their grandma's are going to be on the Texans. NEWSFLASH: This is Peyton Manning's house...Good Luck! The Texans have been playing some good football lately and I do admire their progress this season. Unless you can stop the Colts and their passing game early, running the ball is almost never an option. Opposing teams are averaging only 20.8 carries versus Indy, who allow 4.7 yards per carry. The Texans are currently averaging only 97.3 rushing yards per road game on 3.2 yards per carry. David Carr leads a passing attack that should have quite an easy time against the Colts. Even though Carr completes 58.9% of his passes on the road, opposing QB's have been coming to Indy and completing over 70% of their passes for 7.3 yards per carry. So you think I'm crazy? Well the Colts still average 2.5 sacks per game and the Houston O-Line is horrible. They are allowing 3.5 sacks per road game. The Texans also lack discipline on the road, averaging 124.3 penalty yards per road game. Against the Colts? That's killer! Carr's QB Rating on the road is of 83.7 and visiting teams are averaging a rating of 95.3 against the Colts defense.
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a hard fought Monday Night win over the Vikings. Problem for Houston in this game is that they don't have the road composure to keep up with Manning and his shootouts. Edgerrin James and company are averaging 110.3 rushing yards per home game on 3.9 yards per carry. They are up against a Houston defense that allows 125.5 rushing yards per road game on 4.3 yards per carry. I expect James to have a huge day with the defense so concerned about PM. Speaking of Manning, he is averaging 301.0 passing yards per home game on a whopping 9.0 yards per pass attempt. He is up against a Houston defense that allows 6.6 yards per pass attempt on the road. The Texans also allow opposing home QB's to complete 61.7% of their passes. Now how dangerous is that when you know that Peyton Manning completes 70.1% of his passes at home. YIKES! Did I mention that his O-Line allows only 0.8 sacks per home game, while the Texans average only 1.8 sacks per road game? The Colts are completing 51.3% of 3rd down chances, while Houston is allowing teams to complete 48.2% of 3rd down chances, when playing on the road. Manning's QB Rating at home is of 132.2 and the Texans allow opposing QB's to have a rating of 90.9...when they play on the road. I see this game being won quite easily by the Colts. Call me crazy but I think the public hates my ass for this one.
Cleveland Browns +4
Ah yes...the Pittsburgh Steelers have been just awesome the last two weeks, killing off the Patriots and the Eagles. Well the fun stops here. Big Ben is up on cloud number nine right now and I don't if you guys know this but hitting the road will prove to be much tougher. The Steelers are averaging 123.7 rushing yards per road game on 4.0 yards per carry. Duce Staley may or may not be back for this game but even if he is out, please don't expect Jerome Bettis to run like he did last week. He is now the kind of guy who, when called upon for a big game, will come through (last week was it). The Browns allow only 85.0 rushing yards per game at home on only 3.7 yards per carry. In the air, the Steelers average 183.3 yards per road game on 6.9 yards per pass attempt. The Browns secondary is allowing only 5.7 yards per pass attempt at home and are averaging 1.0 interceptions per game. Here is the one stat I love. The Steelers are converting only 27.0% of 3rd down chances on the road and must face a Browns team that allows only 16.3% of 3rd down chances to be converted against them at home. Wow. This is one game where the Steelers get beat at their own game.
The Cleveland Browns are not as bad as people think and they are certainly not as bad at home. Jeff "" Garcia (who has a hot ass girlfriend) is getting the job done and players are getting comfortable with him...no pun intended. The Browns are averaging an impressive 121.3 rushing yards per home game on 3.4 yards per carry. The Steelers are allowing 108.0 rushing yards per road game on only 3.6 yards per carry. I see the Browns running with a little bit of success but this game will be won through the air. Jeff Garcia is averaging 222.0 passing yards per home game on a huge 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers don't allow much through the air but I think Garcia can get a few big plays in to make the difference. Garcia is completing 66.1% of his passes at home while the Steelers are allowing home QB's to complete 56.8% of their passes. The Browns are converting 40.7% of their 3rd down chances at home and the Steelers are allowing home teams to complete 35.0% of 3rd down chances. With Garcia playing his best ball at home and the Steelers due for a letdown...I’m going to be all over the Brownies!
Minnesota Vikings-Green Bay Packers 'Over' 50
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a heartbreaking loss on Monday Night and have only a short period of time to recover. Daunte Culpepper leads an offense that averages 454.3 total yards per road game. The Vikings are averaging 131.5 rushing yards per road game on an amazing 5.4 yards per carry. I expect Daunte and Onterrio to have field day in this one as the Packers allow an incredible 179.3 rushing yards per home game on 5.5 yards per carry. If the Vikes and Tice can notice this, running the ball all day should lead to 24+ points. In the air, Culpepper is averaging 322.8 passing yards per road game on 8.4 yards per pass attempt. He is completing 74.7% of his passes and the Packers allow opposing QB's to complete 64.5% of their passes when visiting Lambeau. The Packers also allow 7.6 yards per pass attempt at home and average only 0.5 interceptions per home game. The Vikings are converting 55.8% of 3rd down chances on the road and that should lead to quite a few Red Zone visits. Culpepper's QB Rating on the road is 117.1, while the Packers allow visiting QB's to have a rating of 98.3 at Lambeau. This series has gone 'Over' the last seven times.
The Green Bay Packers are ready for this game and most of the team is back to full health. It's not a secret that the Vikings defense is poor and most likely will be tired from the Monday nighter. Ahman Green leads a rushing attack that averages 122.0 rushing yards per home game on 5.3 yards per carry. The best part about that is that the Vikes allow 111.5 rushing yards per road game on 5.1 yards per carry. In the air, Brett Favre leads an attack that averages 283.5 passing yards per home game on 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Vikings defense has been very weak and is currently allowing 268.5 passing yards per road game on 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Favre is currently completing 61.9% of his passes at Lambeau, while the Vikings defense allows opposing QB's to complete 65.9% of their passes when away from home. The Packers are also a good 3rd down team, as they are converting 45.8% of their 3rd down chances at home. I like the Vikes in this game but the total should soar into the 60's as the Vikes engage in another classic shootout. GO OVER!
This is a game where I feel the entire world and their grandma's are going to be on the Texans. NEWSFLASH: This is Peyton Manning's house...Good Luck! The Texans have been playing some good football lately and I do admire their progress this season. Unless you can stop the Colts and their passing game early, running the ball is almost never an option. Opposing teams are averaging only 20.8 carries versus Indy, who allow 4.7 yards per carry. The Texans are currently averaging only 97.3 rushing yards per road game on 3.2 yards per carry. David Carr leads a passing attack that should have quite an easy time against the Colts. Even though Carr completes 58.9% of his passes on the road, opposing QB's have been coming to Indy and completing over 70% of their passes for 7.3 yards per carry. So you think I'm crazy? Well the Colts still average 2.5 sacks per game and the Houston O-Line is horrible. They are allowing 3.5 sacks per road game. The Texans also lack discipline on the road, averaging 124.3 penalty yards per road game. Against the Colts? That's killer! Carr's QB Rating on the road is of 83.7 and visiting teams are averaging a rating of 95.3 against the Colts defense.
The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a hard fought Monday Night win over the Vikings. Problem for Houston in this game is that they don't have the road composure to keep up with Manning and his shootouts. Edgerrin James and company are averaging 110.3 rushing yards per home game on 3.9 yards per carry. They are up against a Houston defense that allows 125.5 rushing yards per road game on 4.3 yards per carry. I expect James to have a huge day with the defense so concerned about PM. Speaking of Manning, he is averaging 301.0 passing yards per home game on a whopping 9.0 yards per pass attempt. He is up against a Houston defense that allows 6.6 yards per pass attempt on the road. The Texans also allow opposing home QB's to complete 61.7% of their passes. Now how dangerous is that when you know that Peyton Manning completes 70.1% of his passes at home. YIKES! Did I mention that his O-Line allows only 0.8 sacks per home game, while the Texans average only 1.8 sacks per road game? The Colts are completing 51.3% of 3rd down chances, while Houston is allowing teams to complete 48.2% of 3rd down chances, when playing on the road. Manning's QB Rating at home is of 132.2 and the Texans allow opposing QB's to have a rating of 90.9...when they play on the road. I see this game being won quite easily by the Colts. Call me crazy but I think the public hates my ass for this one.
Cleveland Browns +4
Ah yes...the Pittsburgh Steelers have been just awesome the last two weeks, killing off the Patriots and the Eagles. Well the fun stops here. Big Ben is up on cloud number nine right now and I don't if you guys know this but hitting the road will prove to be much tougher. The Steelers are averaging 123.7 rushing yards per road game on 4.0 yards per carry. Duce Staley may or may not be back for this game but even if he is out, please don't expect Jerome Bettis to run like he did last week. He is now the kind of guy who, when called upon for a big game, will come through (last week was it). The Browns allow only 85.0 rushing yards per game at home on only 3.7 yards per carry. In the air, the Steelers average 183.3 yards per road game on 6.9 yards per pass attempt. The Browns secondary is allowing only 5.7 yards per pass attempt at home and are averaging 1.0 interceptions per game. Here is the one stat I love. The Steelers are converting only 27.0% of 3rd down chances on the road and must face a Browns team that allows only 16.3% of 3rd down chances to be converted against them at home. Wow. This is one game where the Steelers get beat at their own game.
The Cleveland Browns are not as bad as people think and they are certainly not as bad at home. Jeff "" Garcia (who has a hot ass girlfriend) is getting the job done and players are getting comfortable with him...no pun intended. The Browns are averaging an impressive 121.3 rushing yards per home game on 3.4 yards per carry. The Steelers are allowing 108.0 rushing yards per road game on only 3.6 yards per carry. I see the Browns running with a little bit of success but this game will be won through the air. Jeff Garcia is averaging 222.0 passing yards per home game on a huge 8.9 yards per pass attempt. The Steelers don't allow much through the air but I think Garcia can get a few big plays in to make the difference. Garcia is completing 66.1% of his passes at home while the Steelers are allowing home QB's to complete 56.8% of their passes. The Browns are converting 40.7% of their 3rd down chances at home and the Steelers are allowing home teams to complete 35.0% of 3rd down chances. With Garcia playing his best ball at home and the Steelers due for a letdown...I’m going to be all over the Brownies!
Minnesota Vikings-Green Bay Packers 'Over' 50
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a heartbreaking loss on Monday Night and have only a short period of time to recover. Daunte Culpepper leads an offense that averages 454.3 total yards per road game. The Vikings are averaging 131.5 rushing yards per road game on an amazing 5.4 yards per carry. I expect Daunte and Onterrio to have field day in this one as the Packers allow an incredible 179.3 rushing yards per home game on 5.5 yards per carry. If the Vikes and Tice can notice this, running the ball all day should lead to 24+ points. In the air, Culpepper is averaging 322.8 passing yards per road game on 8.4 yards per pass attempt. He is completing 74.7% of his passes and the Packers allow opposing QB's to complete 64.5% of their passes when visiting Lambeau. The Packers also allow 7.6 yards per pass attempt at home and average only 0.5 interceptions per home game. The Vikings are converting 55.8% of 3rd down chances on the road and that should lead to quite a few Red Zone visits. Culpepper's QB Rating on the road is 117.1, while the Packers allow visiting QB's to have a rating of 98.3 at Lambeau. This series has gone 'Over' the last seven times.
The Green Bay Packers are ready for this game and most of the team is back to full health. It's not a secret that the Vikings defense is poor and most likely will be tired from the Monday nighter. Ahman Green leads a rushing attack that averages 122.0 rushing yards per home game on 5.3 yards per carry. The best part about that is that the Vikes allow 111.5 rushing yards per road game on 5.1 yards per carry. In the air, Brett Favre leads an attack that averages 283.5 passing yards per home game on 7.1 yards per pass attempt. The Vikings defense has been very weak and is currently allowing 268.5 passing yards per road game on 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Favre is currently completing 61.9% of his passes at Lambeau, while the Vikings defense allows opposing QB's to complete 65.9% of their passes when away from home. The Packers are also a good 3rd down team, as they are converting 45.8% of their 3rd down chances at home. I like the Vikes in this game but the total should soar into the 60's as the Vikes engage in another classic shootout. GO OVER!