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19-12 Year To Date Posted Record
Packers -2.5
After thinking GB had no shot on Monday Nite I will bounce with them here. Despite the 0-2 home record they are have lost by a combined 3 points and really should be 1-1. What I liked about the GB game was how the OL meshed even after the injuries and how the defense stepped it up. Problem with getting over excited is Green is Questionable leaving Davenport to run the ball. Flanagan and Clifton look like they will sit out as well. Favre looked better but he was throwing into the prevent defense. What I really liked was the smile on Favre's face when talking about the game as if it was fun to be out there and his confidence was back. Saints have struggled this year to score points topping the 20pt mark just once and now travel for the 5th time in 6 weeks{last xhibition game was @ oakland I believe}. Horn appears to be less then 100% and GB is tough to run on possibly leaving New Orleans struggling to get into the end zone. They had chances vs Buffalo last week and never really put it away. Saints are banged up as well. Most people think Over here but I like the Under as big plays could be at a minimum.
NY Jets +4
Its not about Vinny Testaverde. Its about TB who should lost both @ GB and athome vs DET. The offense has put up 17 pts last 3 games and Cadillac and Clayton are both less then 100%. Watching NU on offense its not hard to take them lightily. I think Vinny takes the pressure of the entire offense and he is capable of making a throw or two. The lost factor is the Jets defense which continues to play solid ball.
Rams ML -139
Under 50 -120
Where do I start? Seahawks dont travel well and dont play STL well. They are missing both starting WR's which puts the offense at a big disadvantage. It looks really bad how they played at NY but really they had many oppps to make it a game. They miss a FG before half and then after getting to the 10 fumble on a trick play which squashed all the momentum they had built. I see Seattle struggling with Stephen Jackson and with Bruce out again I expect the run game to be the focus. Both defenses are better then they get credit for IMO. If you look at all the recent matchups the games go under and all three totals above 50pts went over. Expect big running games from both opponents.
Texans -2.5
Not crazy about the line thought it should be closer to a PK. However Tenny is banged up and really hasnt played well on the road. There defense jusrt cant stop anyone especially thru the air. So here is Carr's shot to make a name for himself{10passing TDS allowed in 4 games}. Titans could ne without Bennet , troupe and Kinney in the passing game. Houston played much better at Cincy and look like the bye righted them some.
Panthers ML -134
people might look to deeply into GBs backdoor cover and Zonas blowout win. Arizona has no healthy CB's and already struggles vs the run. Think Davis and Foster control TOP and Steve Smith and keary Colbert should be able to make some plays. Arizona has struggled to get into the end zone and I wont make a big deal out of McNowns day vs SF.
Redskins +7
Seems to be two very similiar teams. With both teams able to play defense it looks like to many points especially after Denv was undervalued @ Jax.
*****
Here are some thoughts on other games but I have not placed any of these bets:
Under 36 Cleveland....couldnt figure what or who was pushing that line up. Browns -3 as well
Under 41.5 GB/NO
ATL -2.5.....dont be tricked this isnt NE anymore. They are banged up and Atlantas defense is that good.
Over 34.5 Buffalo and Buff -2.5 .....warm weather team in a cold weather spot. Holcomb should move the offense and it seems the WRs want him @ QB. Miami overvalued cause of the home wins. Both teams missing key stars should help the Over.
Under 33 Det..How will anyone score
Under 46.5 Colts ... How will SF score?? Colts -14 looks attractive remember the line is this high simply to force you onto SF.
Cowboys +3...waiting on Dawkins and Trotter status.
Jags -2.5...they had 2 tough games @ Indy and @ NY befor eteh Denver debacle so maybe worth overlooking. Cincy has defeated Clev , Chi, Hou s an d Minny.
Packers -2.5
After thinking GB had no shot on Monday Nite I will bounce with them here. Despite the 0-2 home record they are have lost by a combined 3 points and really should be 1-1. What I liked about the GB game was how the OL meshed even after the injuries and how the defense stepped it up. Problem with getting over excited is Green is Questionable leaving Davenport to run the ball. Flanagan and Clifton look like they will sit out as well. Favre looked better but he was throwing into the prevent defense. What I really liked was the smile on Favre's face when talking about the game as if it was fun to be out there and his confidence was back. Saints have struggled this year to score points topping the 20pt mark just once and now travel for the 5th time in 6 weeks{last xhibition game was @ oakland I believe}. Horn appears to be less then 100% and GB is tough to run on possibly leaving New Orleans struggling to get into the end zone. They had chances vs Buffalo last week and never really put it away. Saints are banged up as well. Most people think Over here but I like the Under as big plays could be at a minimum.
NY Jets +4
Its not about Vinny Testaverde. Its about TB who should lost both @ GB and athome vs DET. The offense has put up 17 pts last 3 games and Cadillac and Clayton are both less then 100%. Watching NU on offense its not hard to take them lightily. I think Vinny takes the pressure of the entire offense and he is capable of making a throw or two. The lost factor is the Jets defense which continues to play solid ball.
Rams ML -139
Under 50 -120
Where do I start? Seahawks dont travel well and dont play STL well. They are missing both starting WR's which puts the offense at a big disadvantage. It looks really bad how they played at NY but really they had many oppps to make it a game. They miss a FG before half and then after getting to the 10 fumble on a trick play which squashed all the momentum they had built. I see Seattle struggling with Stephen Jackson and with Bruce out again I expect the run game to be the focus. Both defenses are better then they get credit for IMO. If you look at all the recent matchups the games go under and all three totals above 50pts went over. Expect big running games from both opponents.
Texans -2.5
Not crazy about the line thought it should be closer to a PK. However Tenny is banged up and really hasnt played well on the road. There defense jusrt cant stop anyone especially thru the air. So here is Carr's shot to make a name for himself{10passing TDS allowed in 4 games}. Titans could ne without Bennet , troupe and Kinney in the passing game. Houston played much better at Cincy and look like the bye righted them some.
Panthers ML -134
people might look to deeply into GBs backdoor cover and Zonas blowout win. Arizona has no healthy CB's and already struggles vs the run. Think Davis and Foster control TOP and Steve Smith and keary Colbert should be able to make some plays. Arizona has struggled to get into the end zone and I wont make a big deal out of McNowns day vs SF.
Redskins +7
Seems to be two very similiar teams. With both teams able to play defense it looks like to many points especially after Denv was undervalued @ Jax.
*****
Here are some thoughts on other games but I have not placed any of these bets:
Under 36 Cleveland....couldnt figure what or who was pushing that line up. Browns -3 as well
Under 41.5 GB/NO
ATL -2.5.....dont be tricked this isnt NE anymore. They are banged up and Atlantas defense is that good.
Over 34.5 Buffalo and Buff -2.5 .....warm weather team in a cold weather spot. Holcomb should move the offense and it seems the WRs want him @ QB. Miami overvalued cause of the home wins. Both teams missing key stars should help the Over.
Under 33 Det..How will anyone score
Under 46.5 Colts ... How will SF score?? Colts -14 looks attractive remember the line is this high simply to force you onto SF.
Cowboys +3...waiting on Dawkins and Trotter status.
Jags -2.5...they had 2 tough games @ Indy and @ NY befor eteh Denver debacle so maybe worth overlooking. Cincy has defeated Clev , Chi, Hou s an d Minny.
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