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Kentucky Derby -- The Greatest 2 Minutes In Sports

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  • Kentucky Derby -- The Greatest 2 Minutes In Sports

    Here is a little breakdown of what I think about each horse. Will post my plays on Saturday morning.

    Jazil and Steppenwolfer are the closers. The inside posts don't concern me because these horses will be running late. I prefer Steppenwolfer over Jazil because of a slightly better post and somewhat more consistant.

    Keyed Entry: Can he go the 1 1/4 with these? I think he'll weaken after a fast pace.

    Sinister Minister: Benefits from having another Baffert horse next to him out of the gate. Last was amazing but look for a bounce here. A pace victim.

    Point Determined: Pace stalker that seems to be getting better. Will benefit from stablemate's pace.

    Showing Up: Too green here to play. Keep an eye on him. If he handles to Derby crowd well, look for him in the Preakness.

    Bob & John: Solid and consistent. The distance looks like it suits this horse well.

    Barbaro: Fairly lightly raced coming in. Undefeated. Wins have been solid. Can he hang with lightning splits?

    Sharp Humor: 1 1/4 seems too far. Maybe better suited to 7 or 8 furlongs.

    A.P. Warrior: Woke up under Shirreffs' training. Faded in last race which was not particularly fast paced but fits well with these. Stalker.

    Sweetnorthernsaint: The longer the race, the better. Loves to be out front. Can he stalk? Gotham race concerns me.

    Private Vow: Not here.

    Bluegrass Cat: Last looks like a throwout but outside post doesn't help. Pace victim.

    Deputy Glitters: A cut below these. Later.

    Seaside Retreat: Also ran.

    Cause to Believe: I have cause to believe this horse is in too deep here.

    Lawyer Ron: Never ran a G1 race. A question of class? Fits with these but outside post and pace says off the board. Being next to Brother Derek racing to the first turn for position is too much for both horses.

    Brother Derek: Classy and steady. Would like a smaller field with a better post. Having Lawyer Ron inside of him doesn't help. Look for this horse in the Preakness at good odds.

    Storm Treasure: The Blue Grass was his best effort. Will regress to old form and maybe pass tired ones late.

    Flashy Bull: Racing luck has eluded this horse. Good trainer and good pedigree. Look for improvement but post is too much to overcome here. I'll look for him in the Belmont.

  • #2
    Friday morning odds to win:


    Will AP Warrior win Ky Derby? (must start)
    101 Yes +1116
    102 No -1596
    Will Barbaro win Ky Derby? (must start)
    103 Yes +486
    104 No -626
    Will Bluegrass Cat win Ky Derby? (must start)
    105 Yes +3551
    106 No -5511
    Will Bob and John win Ky Derby? (must start)
    107 Yes +929
    108 No -1309
    Will Brother Derek win Ky Derby? (must start)
    109 Yes +469
    110 No -559
    Will Cause to Believe win Ky Derby? (must start)
    111 Yes +4300
    112 No -6260
    Will Deputy Glitters win Ky Derby? (must start)
    113 Yes +6740
    114 No -8700
    Will Flashy Bull win Ky Derby? (must start)
    115 Yes +6291
    116 No -8251
    Will Jazil win Ky Derby? (must start)
    117 Yes +2164
    118 No -3624
    Will Keyed Entry win Ky Derby? (must start)
    119 Yes +3293
    120 No -5253
    Will Lawyer Ron win Ky Derby? (must start)
    121 Yes +476
    122 No -616
    Will Point Determined win Ky Derby? (must start)
    123 Yes +951
    124 No -1231
    Will Private Vow win Ky Derby? (must start)
    125 Yes +4084
    126 No -6044
    Will Seaside Retreat win Ky Derby? (must start)
    127 Yes +2095
    128 No -10095
    Will Sharp Humor win Ky Derby? (must start)
    129 Yes +4089
    130 No -6049
    Will Showing Up win Ky Derby? (must start)
    PM 131 Yes +2326
    132 No -3486
    Will Sinister Minister win Ky Derby? (must start)
    133 Yes +1146
    134 No -1626
    Will Steppenwolfer win Ky Derby? (must start)
    135 Yes +2272
    136 No -3432
    Will Storm Treasure win Ky Derby? (must start)
    137 Yes +5252
    138 No -10252
    Will Sweetnorthernsaint win Ky Derby? (must start)
    139 Yes +743
    140 No -933

    Comment


    • #3
      Point Determined to win.

      4 way Exacta Box:
      Point Determined, Bob & John, Sweetnorthernsaint, Steppenwolfer.

      Comment

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