College Football Week 6

[Tinfish]

YTD 22-21-1

Pitt/Central Florida UNDER 48
Throughout the season Pitt has shown that they do have a good defense. If you throw out their game against MSU, they have not given up more than 15 points in any contest. Offensively, they have had some decent outputs but many of these were against bad defenses. Cenral Florida (Do they ever play games on Saturdays?) will play on national TV for the third consecutive week. CFU also has a decent defense. If you throw out the game against Florida, the most points this team has given up is 24! I think this total is off by about 10 points. Under is the play in this one....

OSU/ MSU OVER 52.5
I figure the public will bet this game up as the week continues on. You have 2 high powered offenses(Where my Drew Stanton haters?). Michigan States defense is down right horrid. They gave up 40 to ND and 31 to Michigan- OSUs offense is better than both of these teams IMO. Ohio State has impressed me on offense. Yes they have really really good starters, but they are SOO deep at every position. Defensively they have the number 1 scoring defense in the nation(7 per).

Arizona - 3
Who does Stanford play and why are they only getting 3 points? I will take my brothers high school team -3 against Stanford. This is a big time Stanford fade more than a Zona play. Zona played USC and BYU tough already this year...and I do know that Tuitama is not playing. Stanford has been about murdered in every game this year and they lost SU as 11 point favorites to San Jose State!

Cinci/Louisville UNDER 53.5
Cincinatti has a good defense guys...Looking at some of their stats you might be quick to think I am lying. They gave up 33 to Pitt(there were 2 pick 6s in that game). They gave up 37 to the best offense in the country OSU(They held them to single digits in the first half). This team has some good players that can make plays on defense. A good Akron offense was held scoreless after scoring 2 TDs early! Louisville comes into this game with a powerful offense that has been lighting up the scoreboard. With that being said they are missing their 2 most important pieces of the puzzle(Brohm is Questionable). Louisville also has a great defense and should shut Cincinatti down...I like the under here

Houston + 3.5
It looks like Southern Miss actually does play Saturday games. With that being said, I do not see a reason why they are favored in this game. The 3 points would make one believe that Vegas sees these teams as even teams!?!? Yes, I know that Houston just got beat by Louisianna Lafayette. That game was more of a hangover loss from the Miami heartbreaker IMO. Houston has been putting up huge numbers on offense all season. I think they have to much for this SMS team to handle. Also, with a Fletcher suspended for the first half, how will Southern MIss move the ball?

Maryland - 3.5
Well, once again this is more about the other team that Maryland. Virginia is still get love from the ass-kicking they gave Duke. How long will this last? Hopefully for awhile because this game should be a blowout. If you throw the Duke game out, the most points that this Virginia team has scored is 21! Maryland has an above average defense and should be able to shut this pee-wee offense down. Maryland wins this in a rout 31-9!

Michigan - 6.5
When will Michigan choke that is the question that seems to be on everyone's mind. Since I originally bet this game, Manningham has been listed as OUT and the line has dropped. Why? Do people really think Manningham is that good to change the line? NO WAY!! Some of my SEMCON people are going to start bitching now but guys lets be realistic...hear me out.... Has Manningham made a tough catch yet this year? Honestly, think about it....Every TD he catches hits him right over his shoulder!! I can catch those! Yes I know he is a great reciever and runs precise routs...Just think about it. It is Henne that is making the plays NOT Super Mario! With that being said, I think Michigan gets the job done and covers this spread

[Tinfish]

College Football Week 7

YTD (26-24-1)


Illinois/ Penn State OVER 43
Both these teams have decent offenses and not so good defenses IMO. I think this total is right where it should be BUT will go over. Call it a gut feeling or what, I just think this will go over! Old Juice Juice should help both teams. His aggresiveness can lead to big plays for both the offense and defense.

Notre Dame - 13.5 ALSO looking at the over
I was shocked when I saw this line as low as it was. I figured this would be a 17-21 type line. I jumped on it right away, assuming the line would rise. To my dismay, this line actually dropped to 12.5 before going back up to 13.5. I also looked at some power rankings that had this at 11. The only explanation for this is NDs defense(hence, why I am looking at the over). Besides Oregon (who put up 30), this will be UCLA's first real defensive test. Notre Dame had a bye last week and will be home for the third consecutive week...while The Bruins stay on the road!

Nebraska + 7.5 (hook)
Well this is Nebraska's first meaningful game at home is some time. Yes, I know that they are in different divisions but this should be a national game. Nebraska returns home after 2 games on the road. I would expect a 1990s type crowd for this game. I think 7+ is to many points to be given on the road.

Clemson/ Ga Tech OVER 47
This Ga Tech defense that was hyped at the beginning of the year has been giving up some points the last couple of weeks (23 Maryland 27 Va Tech). Offensively, since the ND game, their offense has been putting up points (38,35,24,28,27). Clemson has put up 63,27,51,52,27,33, and 54 points. Now I understand this was not against the best defenses but that still is a shit-ton of points. I think this has the makings of the 34-33 BC game...

LSU/ FRESNO STATE OVER 51
Well ,we all know how LSU likes to pound the weak and sick! LSU should be able to score a ton here. This is a Fresno team that just got 68 rolled up on them. This game has all the makings of another high scoring affair. LSU should have no problems put 6-8 TDs across. I also expect Fresno to get on the board in this one.

Florida State - 3 (hook)
With Ryan Questionable I like this game much more. FSU is a much better team than BC IMO. Boston College comes into this game after man-handling Va Tech. No one expected that did they? Yes, everyone did because it is usually this time of year when Va Tech starts losing....A la Michigan State. This like many previous game is more just how I feel, rather than stats and facts...