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New Mexico Bowl: San Jose St. vs. New Mexico

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  • New Mexico Bowl: San Jose St. vs. New Mexico

    Bowl Record is 2-1 with South Florida pending.

    SJSU Moneyline +155
    500 to win 780

    - SJ St full of confidence; 8-3 ATS this yr, 12-5L17 ATS
    - coaching edge to New Mexico; Rocky Long 0-3 in bowl games for NM losing 116-46...and that was with more experienced teams...This is the youngest team he has had with only 5 projected starters being seniors
    - NM played a tougher schedule by any metric....but it is pretty close
    - NM off line has been a train wreck all yr allowing 42 sacks
    - NM QB situation is still uncertain; Whoever practices the best in the coming days will start but I suspect we will see both during the game - Sr Nelson and redshirt freshman Porterie who won his first 3 starts all in comeback fashion....Whatever happens at QB - they only complete 52% of their passes
    - SJ St QB Tafralis ranks 16th in passing efficiency completing almost 2/3 of his passes and throwing 18 td vs 7 int...They have a decent running game with a RB (Yonus Davis) coming close to 1000 yds on the season while hitting at 6.3 yds a pop
    - NM should have worse field position over the course of the game; They have no return game to speak of; SJ St is 19th in net punting and 6th in KO coverage
    - slight edge to NM in place kicking
    - NM essentially playing a home game / SJSU was ok on the road this yr
    - NM had a win over Utah; SJSU had a near miss vs Boise
    - turnover margin is pretty much equal

    Nothing would surprise us in this game....including UFOs landing on the field.


    Prediction: SJ St 27 New Mexico 20
    Last edited by Tinfish; 12-23-06, 10:47 AM.
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