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College Bowl Record (7-4)
+$2710
Bowl: Music City Bowl
Teams: Clemson vs. Kentucky
Line: Clemson -11
My Play: Clemson minus the 11
Amount: 1100 to win 1000
Thoughts: Kentucky ranked 118th in defense. Clemson played 117th ranked defense Temple and blew them out 63-9 with 2 100-yd rushers and 6 rushing tds. Clemson played 119th ranked defense LA Tech and blew them out 51-0 with 3 100-yd rushers and 3 rushing tds. The telling stat that favors me towards the Tigers is that they have a 42.4% on 3rd-down conversions and Kentucky has given up a 47.3% conversion rate on 3rd-down.
Kentucky ranks 37th offensively and relies heavily on the pass. Kentucky ranks 101th in rushing averaging only 98.5 yds/game. Clemson ranks 12th in defense overall and 15th in pass defense only allowing an average of 166.8 yds/game in the air. The two teams that Clemson has faced that are statistically comparable to a Kentucky type offense were FSU (95.8 yds/game rush and 226 yds/game pass) and Clemson gave up 20 pts to them, and BC (117 yds/game rush and 241 yds/game pass) and they gave up 24 pts to them if you don't count the overtime numbers.
I expect a ball control type of game for Clemson where they run, run, and run. They will have no problems creating long and successful drives as their run game will help them avoid any 3rd and long situations and they will convert 1st downs easily with their season 42.4% 3rd-down conversion rate. Also, with the Cats inability to run the ball makes them one-dimensional and Clemson should hold them to 20-24 pts. That's not enough to win or cover with how bad the Kentucky defense is.
Prediction: Clemson 45 Kentucky 17
+$2710
Bowl: Music City Bowl
Teams: Clemson vs. Kentucky
Line: Clemson -11
My Play: Clemson minus the 11
Amount: 1100 to win 1000
Thoughts: Kentucky ranked 118th in defense. Clemson played 117th ranked defense Temple and blew them out 63-9 with 2 100-yd rushers and 6 rushing tds. Clemson played 119th ranked defense LA Tech and blew them out 51-0 with 3 100-yd rushers and 3 rushing tds. The telling stat that favors me towards the Tigers is that they have a 42.4% on 3rd-down conversions and Kentucky has given up a 47.3% conversion rate on 3rd-down.
Kentucky ranks 37th offensively and relies heavily on the pass. Kentucky ranks 101th in rushing averaging only 98.5 yds/game. Clemson ranks 12th in defense overall and 15th in pass defense only allowing an average of 166.8 yds/game in the air. The two teams that Clemson has faced that are statistically comparable to a Kentucky type offense were FSU (95.8 yds/game rush and 226 yds/game pass) and Clemson gave up 20 pts to them, and BC (117 yds/game rush and 241 yds/game pass) and they gave up 24 pts to them if you don't count the overtime numbers.
I expect a ball control type of game for Clemson where they run, run, and run. They will have no problems creating long and successful drives as their run game will help them avoid any 3rd and long situations and they will convert 1st downs easily with their season 42.4% 3rd-down conversion rate. Also, with the Cats inability to run the ball makes them one-dimensional and Clemson should hold them to 20-24 pts. That's not enough to win or cover with how bad the Kentucky defense is.
Prediction: Clemson 45 Kentucky 17
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