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LSU (-26.5) versus Louisiana Tech
Louisiana State is in between SEC games against Auburn and Alabama, but they should roll to an easy win if they can focus themselves on the task at hand. The Tigers, averaging a solid 5.6 yards per play on offense (against teams that allow 5.4 yppl on defense), will certainly have no trouble scoring points against a Louisiana Tech defense that’s bad even by WAC standards (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.6 yppl on offense). LSU will have to be focused, however, if they are to stop a very good Bulldogs offense that’s averaged a robust 6.3 yppl (against teams that allow an average of 5.4 yppl on defense). LSU certainly has the defensive talent to stop any team, as they’ve yielded just 4.1 yppl this season (to teams that average a combined 5.2 yppl on offense) and are especially adept at stopping the pass (4.5 yards per pass play allowed to teams that average 5.9 yppp). My mathematical model favors LSU by 28 ½ points, but the Tigers also qualify in a solid 101-42-3 ATS home momentum situation while the Bulldogs are in a negative 8-30 ATS situation after last week’s upset at Nevada. There is a possibility that LSU will be flat for this game, but the Tigers are 6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite the last two seasons.
Prediction? LSU 44 La Tech 13
Louisiana State is in between SEC games against Auburn and Alabama, but they should roll to an easy win if they can focus themselves on the task at hand. The Tigers, averaging a solid 5.6 yards per play on offense (against teams that allow 5.4 yppl on defense), will certainly have no trouble scoring points against a Louisiana Tech defense that’s bad even by WAC standards (6.4 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.6 yppl on offense). LSU will have to be focused, however, if they are to stop a very good Bulldogs offense that’s averaged a robust 6.3 yppl (against teams that allow an average of 5.4 yppl on defense). LSU certainly has the defensive talent to stop any team, as they’ve yielded just 4.1 yppl this season (to teams that average a combined 5.2 yppl on offense) and are especially adept at stopping the pass (4.5 yards per pass play allowed to teams that average 5.9 yppp). My mathematical model favors LSU by 28 ½ points, but the Tigers also qualify in a solid 101-42-3 ATS home momentum situation while the Bulldogs are in a negative 8-30 ATS situation after last week’s upset at Nevada. There is a possibility that LSU will be flat for this game, but the Tigers are 6-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite the last two seasons.
Prediction? LSU 44 La Tech 13