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Pittsburgh at Seattle
Sunday, Nov-02 01:05 PM
Favorite: Seattle -4.5
Total: 44.5
01:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02
Pittsburgh is in real trouble if they can’t even win at home in a good situation against a Rams team that has won only 1 road game prior in the last two seasons. The Steelers’ offense has been the problem, averaging just 4.8 yards per play against a schedule of teams that combines to allow 5.1 yppl on defense. I don’t see that unit having too much of a chance to improve their numbers today against a solid Seahawks’ defense that has yielded just 4.7 yppl this season (to teams that average a combined 5.1 yppl on offense). The Steelers’ defense has played well this season (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.2 yppl on offense), but Seattle’s attack (5.5 yppl against teams that allow 5.2 yppl) is likely to exploit the Steelers’ questionable pass defense (6.1 yards per pass play allowed to teams that average 5.9 yppp on offense). Overall, my math model favors Seattle by 7 points and Pittsburgh’s 28-18-2 ATS road dog record under Bill Cowher is not enough to get me on their side. I’ll lean with the better team to win at home following last week’s mistake filled loss at Cincinnati (5 turnovers).
Sunday, Nov-02 01:05 PM
Favorite: Seattle -4.5
Total: 44.5
01:05 PM Pacific Time Sunday, Nov-02
Pittsburgh is in real trouble if they can’t even win at home in a good situation against a Rams team that has won only 1 road game prior in the last two seasons. The Steelers’ offense has been the problem, averaging just 4.8 yards per play against a schedule of teams that combines to allow 5.1 yppl on defense. I don’t see that unit having too much of a chance to improve their numbers today against a solid Seahawks’ defense that has yielded just 4.7 yppl this season (to teams that average a combined 5.1 yppl on offense). The Steelers’ defense has played well this season (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that average 5.2 yppl on offense), but Seattle’s attack (5.5 yppl against teams that allow 5.2 yppl) is likely to exploit the Steelers’ questionable pass defense (6.1 yards per pass play allowed to teams that average 5.9 yppp on offense). Overall, my math model favors Seattle by 7 points and Pittsburgh’s 28-18-2 ATS road dog record under Bill Cowher is not enough to get me on their side. I’ll lean with the better team to win at home following last week’s mistake filled loss at Cincinnati (5 turnovers).