3-1 last nite. +$180
Plus $830 this week.
my picks for today are:
Yankees
Abbott pitched well for the Rays allowing the Yankees only 4 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings losing a close one 3-2. But all indications say that Brown may be healthy and back to his old tricks. He has beaten the Rays twice and has thrown 14 innings allowing only 11 hits and no walks. That last stat about walks is the most telling. If his control is there, he is hell to beat. Lot of chalk (-270) but you only pay that if you lose. I figure Brown holds them long enough for the Yankee bats to win it.
White Sox
Garland has pitched well allowing only 4 hits and 2 walks in 8 strong innings. That was against the Yankees big lumber too. Affeldt has not been right since he was hurt last year. He has struggled. His first outing this year he allowed 9 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings and that was to the weak hitting Indians. -150 is a fair number here.
Pittsburgh +1 1/2 (-110)
Clement struggled in his first start allowing 6 hits and 3 walks in only 4 innings. I think the Cubs relief corps is going to be sorely tested early this year which won't help them later in the season. The walks is the reason to bet against Clement here. One an inning will get you killed. Vogelsong I don't care for. he was a reliever that has turned starter. But there is no ignoring the fact that he had a good opener allowing only 6 hits in 7 strong innings. I don't have to win here just stay close.
Florida
Willis at -130 is another of those too good to pass up lines. He started off the season last year tearing the world apart. He faded later in the season somewhat but he may be one of those pitchers that starts very hot. In any event, his first start was a shutout win going 7 2/3 innings and allowing only 5 hits. Ohka is not Montreal's best and he allowed 9 hits in 5 innings in his debut this year. Have to try Willis at this number.
Toronto/Detroit OVER 9 1/2
Lilly allowed 5 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings in his only outing. Robertson actually pitched in relief for 6 innings so far this year and he didn't do very well allowing 3 hits and an incredible 5 walks. Both these teams are pounding the baseball and everything points to an over here.
Cinn +1 1/2 (-130)
Neither pitcher is outstanding but Aceveda was slightly better in his debut allowing only 5 hits in 6 innings. Padilla gave 6 hits in 6 innings and I would evaluate them as much closer but Padilla allowed 3 walks. You will find that walks by a pitcher weighs heavily in my capping. Philly has struggled this year winning only 1 and losing 6. Cinn is playing good solid baseball and their 5-2 record is surprising most experts except they have the best numbers in their bullpen in all of baseball. Solid defense, good starting pitching, good hitting, great relief. I don't know why they are surprised. Will it last the season? I don't care. I just want it to last one more game tonight.
Arizona/Colorado UNDER 12
Neither of these pitchers were more than average last year. They are the same this year so far as Dessens allowed 6 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings. Kennedy looks better at 4 hits and 1 walk in 6 innings. I think they are good enough to hold the scoring down here. This is one of those inflated Colo home totals. Betting the under was money at this stadium for me last year and has been for a few years. Careful here though because any under bet involving StL or AZ is risky because their bullpens are the worst I have ever seen in the history of baseball. I think AZ has some offensive problems this year though so I will try it under.
Plus $830 this week.
my picks for today are:
Yankees
Abbott pitched well for the Rays allowing the Yankees only 4 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings losing a close one 3-2. But all indications say that Brown may be healthy and back to his old tricks. He has beaten the Rays twice and has thrown 14 innings allowing only 11 hits and no walks. That last stat about walks is the most telling. If his control is there, he is hell to beat. Lot of chalk (-270) but you only pay that if you lose. I figure Brown holds them long enough for the Yankee bats to win it.
White Sox
Garland has pitched well allowing only 4 hits and 2 walks in 8 strong innings. That was against the Yankees big lumber too. Affeldt has not been right since he was hurt last year. He has struggled. His first outing this year he allowed 9 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings and that was to the weak hitting Indians. -150 is a fair number here.
Pittsburgh +1 1/2 (-110)
Clement struggled in his first start allowing 6 hits and 3 walks in only 4 innings. I think the Cubs relief corps is going to be sorely tested early this year which won't help them later in the season. The walks is the reason to bet against Clement here. One an inning will get you killed. Vogelsong I don't care for. he was a reliever that has turned starter. But there is no ignoring the fact that he had a good opener allowing only 6 hits in 7 strong innings. I don't have to win here just stay close.
Florida
Willis at -130 is another of those too good to pass up lines. He started off the season last year tearing the world apart. He faded later in the season somewhat but he may be one of those pitchers that starts very hot. In any event, his first start was a shutout win going 7 2/3 innings and allowing only 5 hits. Ohka is not Montreal's best and he allowed 9 hits in 5 innings in his debut this year. Have to try Willis at this number.
Toronto/Detroit OVER 9 1/2
Lilly allowed 5 hits and 2 walks in just 5 innings in his only outing. Robertson actually pitched in relief for 6 innings so far this year and he didn't do very well allowing 3 hits and an incredible 5 walks. Both these teams are pounding the baseball and everything points to an over here.
Cinn +1 1/2 (-130)
Neither pitcher is outstanding but Aceveda was slightly better in his debut allowing only 5 hits in 6 innings. Padilla gave 6 hits in 6 innings and I would evaluate them as much closer but Padilla allowed 3 walks. You will find that walks by a pitcher weighs heavily in my capping. Philly has struggled this year winning only 1 and losing 6. Cinn is playing good solid baseball and their 5-2 record is surprising most experts except they have the best numbers in their bullpen in all of baseball. Solid defense, good starting pitching, good hitting, great relief. I don't know why they are surprised. Will it last the season? I don't care. I just want it to last one more game tonight.
Arizona/Colorado UNDER 12
Neither of these pitchers were more than average last year. They are the same this year so far as Dessens allowed 6 hits and 2 walks in 5 innings. Kennedy looks better at 4 hits and 1 walk in 6 innings. I think they are good enough to hold the scoring down here. This is one of those inflated Colo home totals. Betting the under was money at this stadium for me last year and has been for a few years. Careful here though because any under bet involving StL or AZ is risky because their bullpens are the worst I have ever seen in the history of baseball. I think AZ has some offensive problems this year though so I will try it under.
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