The Packers and Bears are both struggling early in the season, but Green Bay is more likely to rebound in this match-up. Green Bay isn’t a great team by any measure, but they are pretty decent on both sides of the ball, which is more than can be said about the punch-less Bears, who are averaging a pathetic 10 points and 3.3 yards per play on offense after two games. Green Bay has given up a decent 4.8 yppl in their 3 games to teams that average 5.2 yppl on offense, and I don’t expect them to have much trouble with a Bears attack that can’t run very well behind a horrible offensive line and can’t pass well with Kordell Stewart at quarterback throwing to poor receivers that can’t get open (he’s averaging 3.0 yards per pass play while completing just 49% of his passes). Brett Favre has averaged a solid 6.0 yards per pass play and Ahman Green is averaging 4.5 ypr, so the Packers’ attack is working well enough and should be able to move the ball pretty well against a defense that’s allowed 5.5 yppl in their two losses (to teams that have averaged 5.6 yppl on offense). I realize that going against a Monday night home underdog is not something that should be done often, but bad teams simply don’t perform well in that role. In fact, Monday night home underdogs with a win percentage of .333 or less are just 15-24 ATS the last 23 years. I’ll lean with the Pack to bounce back from last week’s loss at Arizona.
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Green Bay @ Chicago (GB -4)
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boxed or hooked means parlay. A parlay, also known as a combo bet, is a "selection of two or more wagering outcomes". so if i box or hook the total and the side means that i am taking the over/under and also betting on one of the teams. both have to win for me to win. payout depending on bookie/casino/online offshore is around 13 to 5 on a 2 teamer
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