Green Bay @ Chicago (GB -4)

[Tinfish]

The Packers and Bears are both struggling early in the season, but Green Bay is more likely to rebound in this match-up. Green Bay isn’t a great team by any measure, but they are pretty decent on both sides of the ball, which is more than can be said about the punch-less Bears, who are averaging a pathetic 10 points and 3.3 yards per play on offense after two games. Green Bay has given up a decent 4.8 yppl in their 3 games to teams that average 5.2 yppl on offense, and I don’t expect them to have much trouble with a Bears attack that can’t run very well behind a horrible offensive line and can’t pass well with Kordell Stewart at quarterback throwing to poor receivers that can’t get open (he’s averaging 3.0 yards per pass play while completing just 49% of his passes). Brett Favre has averaged a solid 6.0 yards per pass play and Ahman Green is averaging 4.5 ypr, so the Packers’ attack is working well enough and should be able to move the ball pretty well against a defense that’s allowed 5.5 yppl in their two losses (to teams that have averaged 5.6 yppl on offense). I realize that going against a Monday night home underdog is not something that should be done often, but bad teams simply don’t perform well in that role. In fact, Monday night home underdogs with a win percentage of .333 or less are just 15-24 ATS the last 23 years. I’ll lean with the Pack to bounce back from last week’s loss at Arizona.

[Gongshow]

I like the Bears here...GB coming off a bad loss to Ariz, and I think the Bears will be fired up and ready to go to open up the new soldier field...with this line...Ill take the Bears ;)

[Gongshow]

anyone else have a say on this game?

[hitmansb]

It's a crap-shoot. I wouldn't put any money on it...just gonna watch and enjoy probably.

[Tinfish]

I like the Pack minus the points.

[spike1205]

im with you hitman--while i do lean towards gb on this--there are too many intangible variables in this game, new field, monday night, gb starting so slow

ill pass on this

[Gongshow]

I won the over/under!!!

[Tinfish]

Originally posted by Tinfish
I like the Pack minus the points.

This win got me back in the positive for the weekend. :D

[hitmansb]

The over was a nice play...no D on either side.

[Tinfish]

yeah i boxed the total and side. and had the side alone. great way to finish off a mediocre week.

[Gongshow]

Originally posted by Tinfish
yeah i boxed the total and side. and had the side alone. great way to finish off a mediocre week.

boxed total, and side alone??? can u explain :( lol

[Tinfish]

boxed or hooked means parlay. A parlay, also known as a combo bet, is a "selection of two or more wagering outcomes". so if i box or hook the total and the side means that i am taking the over/under and also betting on one of the teams. both have to win for me to win. payout depending on bookie/casino/online offshore is around 13 to 5 on a 2 teamer

[Gongshow]

so u won?!

[Tinfish]

yup. the parlay and the single bet.

[Gongshow]

well good work Tin!